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Opinion: A robot trader thinks this Meme stock will outperform Facebook and Walmart

Opinion: A robot trader thinks this Meme stock will outperform Facebook and Walmart

觀點:一名機器人交易員認為Meme股票的表現將超過Facebook和沃爾瑪
Dow Jones Newswires ·  2021/07/15 10:04  · 觀點

A benchmark-beating exchange-traded fund that is run by a robot expects to see shares in $AMC Entertainment Holdings Inc(AMC.US)$ outperform the likes of Facebook and Walmart in July.

一隻由機器人管理的超越基準的交易所交易基金預計將在$AMC娛樂控股公司(AMC.US)$7月份的表現超過了Facebook和沃爾瑪等公司。

The Qraft AI-Enhanced U.S. Large Cap Momentum ETF, trading as AMOM on the New York Stock Exchange, bought shares in AMC -- the cinema chain and retail investor favorite -- over some of the S&P 500's largest companies this month. AMOM's preference for AMC came as another meme stock, $GameStop Corp(GME.US)$, was booted from its portfolio.

本月,卡夫人工智能增強的U.S.Large Cap Momentum ETF在紐約證券交易所(New York Stock Exchange)以AMOM的形式交易,購買了院線和散户投資者最喜歡的AMC的股票,而不是標準普爾500指數中一些最大的公司。AMOM對AMC的偏好是另一個表情包儲備,$GameStop Corp(GME.US)$,被從其投資組合中除名。

Run by artificial intelligence, AMOM's rebalancing at the beginning of July was characterized by the removal of major technology and retail stocks, as it pivoted to focus on pandemic trades and reducing volatility.

由人工智能運營的AMOM在7月初的再平衡行動的特點是移除了主要的科技股和零售股,因為它將重點放在大流行交易和降低波動性上。

In June, $Facebook Inc(FB.US)$, $Walmart Inc(WMT.US)$, $The Home Depot Inc(HD.US)$, $Adobe Inc(ADBE.US)$, and $Texas Instruments Inc(TXN.US)$ made up a collective 28% of the fund's holdings, but all five stocks were ditched in its latest rebalancing -- meaning that the AI controlling AMOM believes they will see price declines across July.

在六月,$Facebook(FB.US)$, $沃爾瑪(WMT.US)$, $家得寶(HD.US)$, $Adobe(ADBE.US)$,及$德州儀器(TXN.US)$佔該基金總持有量的28%,但在最新的再平衡中,這五隻股票都被拋棄了--這意味着控制人工智能的AMOM認為,他們的股價將在整個7月份下跌。

The standout among the stocks added in July was AMC, the cinema chain that along with GameStop has epitomized the "meme stock" trading frenzy in 2021.

在7月份新增的股票中,最突出的是AMC,這家影院連鎖店與GameStop一起,是2021年“表情包股票”交易狂潮的縮影。

A flock of investors, largely organized on social media platform Reddit, helped squeeze hedge funds' short positions on companies including GameStop and AMC earlier this year. The trading frenzy caused multibillion-dollar losses for hedge funds, unbelievable gains for individuals that timed it right, and ushered in a new era of internet-inspired trading.

今年早些時候,一羣主要在社交媒體平臺Reddit上組織的投資者幫助擠壓了對衝基金對GameStop和AMC等公司的空頭頭寸。這場交易狂潮給對衝基金造成了數十億美元的損失,對時機正確的個人來説,這是令人難以置信的收益,並開啟了一個互聯網啟發交易的新時代。

AMC's stock price rose 570% from January 20 to January 27 -- from nearly $3 a share to almost $20. Shares in the group are now up close to 1,500% so far in 2021, trading around $33.

從1月20日到1月27日,AMC的股價上漲了570%,從每股近3美元漲到了近20美元。2021年到目前為止,AMC的股價上漲了近1,500%,交易價格約為33美元。

And now the AI calling the shots at AMOM thinks the stock will move even higher in July, buying enough shares to make up 1.8% of the fund. Bringing AMC into the fold came as the robot ditched GameStop, which was added to AMOM in May but booted out after the stock fell more than 14% in June.

現在,人工智能對AMOM發號施令,認為該股在7月份將進一步走高,購買足夠多的股票,佔該基金的1.8%。AMC加入AMC之際,該機器人拋棄了GameStop,GameStop在5月份加入AMOM,但在6月份股價下跌超過14%後退出。

"Qraft's AI model is not specifically designed to invest in meme stocks, but rather in stocks with high capital appreciation potential," Geeseok Oh, a managing director at Qraft and the head of its Asia-Pacific business, told Barron's.

“卡夫的人工智能模式並不是專門為投資表情包股票而設計的,而是投資於具有高資本增值潛力的股票,”卡夫董事總經理、亞太區業務主管Geeseok oh告訴巴倫。

"AI is not swayed by prejudice or bias and may pick up meme stocks if the momentum seems highly positive," said Oh. "This month, our model found AMC more opportunistic than other meme stocks like GameStop."

“人工智能不受偏見或偏見的左右,如果勢頭看起來非常積極,它可能會收購表情包,”吳宇森説。“本月,我們的模型發現,AMC比GameStop等其他迷因股票更具機會主義色彩。”

The top five stocks by portfolio weight added to AMOM in July include retailer O'Reilly Auto Parts, software group Cadence Design Systems, electronics store chain Best Buy, biotech cancer specialist Seagen, and enterprise software developer HubSpot.

按投資組合權重計算,7月份加入AMOM的前五隻股票包括零售商O‘Reilly Auto Parts、軟件集團Cadence Design Systems、電子產品連鎖店百思買(Best Buy)、生物技術癌症專家Seagen和企業軟件開發商HubSpot。

After the fund was rebalanced, AMOM's five largest holdings by portfolio weight were online dating group Match, cybersecurity company Fortinet, O'Reilly Auto Parts as well as rival AutoZone, and retailer Kroger.

在基金重新平衡後,按投資組合權重計算,AMOM持有的五大資產分別是在線約會集團Match、網絡安全公司Fortinet、O‘Reilly Auto Parts以及競爭對手AutoZone和零售商克羅格(Kroger)。

"With Covid-19 reaching new peaks, the AI made trades related to the pandemic conditions," Oh said. " Match Group is one of the beneficiaries of the pandemic with more people trying out online dating. Fortinet stock gained prominence with more and more governments emphasizing the importance of cybersecurity."

隨着新冠肺炎達到新的峯值,人工智能進行了與大流行條件相關的交易,噢説。隨着越來越多的人嘗試在線約會,Match Group是大流行的受益者之一。Fortinet股票因越來越多的政府強調網絡安全的重要性而聲名鵲起。

Oh also added that it was noteworthy that AMOM has decided to adjust its portfolio away from very big bets -- in June, the fund's top three stocks accounted for 21% of the portfolio, but now the top three stocks account for just 11%.

吳還補充説,值得注意的是,AMOM已決定調整其投資組合,不再進行非常大的押注--6月份,該基金前三大股票佔投資組合的21%,但現在前三大股票僅佔11%。

"Given the volatile market sentiment, the AI seems to have adjusted portfolio and concentration to hedge against potential risks," he said.

他説:“鑑於市場情緒波動,人工智能似乎已經調整了投資組合和集中度,以對衝潛在風險。”

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AMOM has been listed in New York since May 2019, and has delivered total returns of 12% so far in 2021 and 42% in the past year -- outpacing its benchmark, the S&P 500 Momentum index, which has climbed a comparable 34% since July 2020.

AMOM自2019年5月在紐約上市,2021年迄今實現了12%的總回報率,過去一年的總回報率為42%,超過了基準的標準普爾500動量指數,後者自2020年7月以來上漲了34%。

The fund is a product of Qraft, a Seoul, South Korea-based fintech group leveraging AI across its investment products, which include three other AI-picked versions of major indexes: a U.S. large cap index QRFT; a U.S. large cap dividend index HDIV; and a U.S. value index NVQ.

該基金是總部位於韓國首爾的金融科技集團卡夫的產品,該集團在其投資產品中利用了人工智能,其中包括另外三個人工智能精選的主要指數版本:美國大盤股指數QRFT、美國大盤股股息指數HDIV和美國價值指數NVQ。

AMOM is an actively managed portfolio driven by artificial intelligence, tracking 50 large-cap U.S. stocks and reweighting its holdings each month. It is based on a momentum strategy, with the AI behind its stock picks capitalizing on the movements of existing market trends to inform the decision to add, remove, or reweight holdings. The artificial intelligence scans the market and uses its predictive power to analyze a wide set of patterns that show stock-market momentum.

AMOM是一種由人工智能驅動的主動管理投資組合,跟蹤50只美國大盤股,並每月重新調整所持股票的權重。它基於一種動量戰略,其選股背後的人工智能利用現有市場趨勢的變動來為增持、減持或重新加權的決定提供信息。人工智能掃描市場,並利用其預測能力分析一系列顯示股市勢頭的模式。

The entrance of AI-run funds onto Wall Street promised a new high-tech future for investing, though it hasn't quite lived up to the hype yet. Theoretically, researchers have shown that AI investing strategies can beat the market by up to 40% on an annualized basis, when tested against historical data.

人工智能運營的基金進入華爾街,預示着一個新的高科技投資未來,儘管它還沒有完全達到炒作的程度。理論上,研究人員已經表明,如果對照歷史數據進行測試,人工智能投資策略按年率計算可以比市場高出40%。

But Vasant Dhar, a professor at New York University's Stern School of Business and the founder of machine-learning-based hedge fund SCT Capital Management, argued in June 2020 that AI-run funds won't "crack" the code of the stock market.

但紐約大學斯特恩商學院教授、基於機器學習的對衝基金SCT資本管理公司的創始人瓦桑特·達爾在2020年6月辯稱,人工智能運營的基金不會“破解”股市的密碼。

Advocating caution, Dhar said that it was difficult for funds underpinned by machine learning to maintain a sustainable edge over markets, which have "a nonstationary and adversarial nature." He advised investors considering an AI system to ask tough questions, including how likely it is that the AI's "edge" will persist into the future, and what the inherent uncertainties and range of performance outcomes for the fund are.

Dhar提倡謹慎,他説,由機器學習支撐的基金很難保持相對於市場的可持續優勢,市場具有“非平穩和對抗性的性質”。他建議考慮人工智能系統的投資者提出尖鋭的問題,包括人工智能的“優勢”有多大可能持續到未來,以及該基金內在的不確定性和業績結果的範圍。

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

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July 15, 2021 09:30 ET (13:30 GMT)

2021年7月15日東部時間09:30(格林尼治標準時間13:30)

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