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Earnings Preview: Alphabet profitability still hidden in the cloud as it surges past FAANG toward Q2 earnings

Earnings Preview: Alphabet profitability still hidden in the cloud as it surges past FAANG toward Q2 earnings

收益預覽:字母表盈利能力仍隱藏在雲中,因為它超過了FAANG,邁向第二季度收益
Benzinga Real-time News ·  2021/07/26 21:04  · 財報

$Alphabet Inc-CL A(GOOGL.US)$ arguably hit it out of the park last quarter when it reported earnings that left analysts' estimates in the dust.

$Alphabet Inc-CL A(GOOGL.US)$可以説,上個季度,該公司公佈的收益超出了分析師的預期,令人驚歎不已。

Overall revenue came in strong at $55.3 billion, up 34% year over year, with each business segment topping expectations by a wide margin except for one that matched consensus. Jumping off its earnings performance, GOOGL shares currently stand 11% higher than they were entering last quarter's reporting period.

整體營收強勁,達到553億美元,同比增長34%,除一個業務部門與共識相符外,其他每個業務部門都遠遠超出預期。從盈利表現來看,谷歌目前的股價比進入上個季度的報告期高出11%。

Let's take a step back for a moment. For a company whose $1 trillion market cap has only a handful of peers in the world, you have to wonder how much more growth is possible, especially considering that GOOGL seems to be in every global market, driving some part of every sector and every industry.

讓我們退後一步。對於一家市值1萬億美元的公司來説,全球同行屈指可數,你不得不想知道還能有多少增長,特別是考慮到谷歌似乎進入了每個全球市場,推動着每個行業和每個行業的某些部分。

Still, its appetite for growth and innovation is what seems to rejuvenate the 23-year old company. And its forward outlook in its earnings conference call, courtesy of CEO Sundar Pichai, could reflect the scope of the company's present operations and future ambitions—literally and "virtually," all over the map.

儘管如此,它對增長和創新的胃口似乎讓這家擁有23年曆史的公司重新煥發了活力。在首席執行官桑達爾·皮查伊的幫助下,該公司在財報電話會議上的展望可能會反映出公司目前的業務範圍和未來的雄心--字面上的,甚至是整個地圖上的“虛擬的”。

Core Search Still Globally Uncontested

核心搜索在全球範圍內仍無人競爭

Almost everyone in the world uses the term "Google″ as a verb synonymous with "online search." This speaks to GOOGL's dominance in the minds of online users—around 92% of all global search queries go through the Google search engine. 

世界上幾乎每個人都把“谷歌”當作“在線搜索”的同義詞。這説明瞭谷歌在在線用户心目中的主導地位--大約92%的全球搜索請求都是通過谷歌搜索引擎完成的。

Not surprisingly, the company has owned over 30% of the global online ad market share since at least 2016, according to Statista, and in the US, that figure is expected to rise to 56.8% this year.

不出所料,根據Statista的數據,至少自2016年以來,該公司已經佔據了全球在線廣告市場30%以上的份額,在美國,這一數字預計今年將上升到56.8%。

These are important stats, not only because ad revenue represents 82% of GOOGL's total revenue—in other words, it pays the bills—but because it's also what makes the company's forays into other avenues of growth possible.

這些都是重要的數據,不僅因為廣告收入佔谷歌總收入的82%--換句話説,是它買單--還因為它也使該公司進軍其他增長渠道成為可能。

As is often the case going into GOOGL earnings, ad revenue growth will likely be on investors' minds. As earnings approach, the Street appears optimistic about GOOGL's Q2 ad results. This could be in part due to a continued recovery in internet advertising that may be lifting more than one boat in the sector, Barron's reported.

就像谷歌盈利經常出現的情況一樣,廣告收入的增長可能會成為投資者關注的問題。隨着盈利的臨近,華爾街似乎對谷歌第二季度的廣告業績持樂觀態度。據Barron‘s報道,這在一定程度上可能是因為互聯網廣告的持續復甦,這可能提振了該行業的不止一艘船。

google earnings q2

The thinkorswim® platform

Thinkkorswim®平臺

FIGURE 1: TAKING A BITE OUT OF THE FAANG. Alphabet's shares are running ahead of the rest of the FAANGs year to date. 

圖1: 咬了一口FAANG。今年到目前為止,Alphabet的股價一直領先於FAANG的其他股票。

Quiet Dominance In The World Of Mobile Communications

在移動通信領域悄無聲息地佔據主導地位

When you talk about $Apple Inc(AAPL.US)$, it's almost impossible not to talk about the iPhone. After all, doesn't everyone virtually live by (or "in") their mobile phones? We can't say the same for Alphabet, whose Android phones are hardly ever discussed (even in the company's recent earnings calls).

當你談到$蘋果公司(AAPL.US)$,幾乎不可能不談論iPhone。畢竟,不是每個人實際上都靠(或“在”手機裏)生活嗎?對於Alphabet,我們就不能這樣説了,它的Android手機幾乎從未被討論過(甚至在該公司最近的財報電話會議上也是如此)。

But here's something to think about: While nearly 60% of all mobile customers in the U.S. prefer iPhones over Android, the latter dominates the global mobile market with a 72% market share, according to a report by Statcounter. What might that mean with regard to its OS-related Chrome or Chromebook adoption? Seamless OS access across related devices? 

但這裏需要考慮的是:根據StatCounter的一份報告,儘管近60%的美國移動用户更喜歡iPhone而不是Android,但Android以72%的市場份額主導着全球移動市場。對於其操作系統相關的Chrome或Chromebook的採用而言,這可能意味着什麼?跨相關設備無縫訪問操作系統?

Cloud Still Lagging But Gaining Momentum

雲仍然落後,但勢頭正在增強

GOOGL's cloud services still rank third behind $Amazon.Com Inc(AMZN.US)$ and $Microsoft Corp(MSFT.US)$. But its command of over 7% global market share, reported by Canalys (April 2021), shouldn’t be underestimated, especially considering that the "cloud" is still a budding market.

谷歌的雲服務仍排在第三位$Amazon.com Inc.(AMZN.US)$$微軟公司(MSFT.US)$。但據Canalys(2021年4月)報道,它在全球市場的佔有率超過7%,這一數字不應被低估,特別是考慮到“雲”仍是一個萌芽市場。

Last quarter's $4 billion in cloud revenue revealed the strength and speed of GOOGL's charge, exhibiting a solid 46% year-over-year growth. On the defensive side, the segment also proved capable of reducing its operating losses from $1.73 billion a year ago to only $1 billion last quarter.

上個季度40億美元的雲收入顯示了谷歌收費的實力和速度,與去年同期相比穩步增長了46%。在防禦方面,事實證明,該部門也有能力將運營虧損從一年前的17.3億美元減少到上個季度的10億美元。

Investors are likely to pay close attention to the Google Cloud revenue when the company reports Q2 earnings on July 27, after the close. Given the level of emphasis CEO Pichai places on the segment in nearly every earnings conference call, it's hard not to suspect that GOOGL's cloud services could help shape the company's future profitability and market dominance.

投資者可能會密切關注谷歌雲(Google Cloud)的收入,該公司將於7月27日(收盤後)公佈第二季度收益。考慮到首席執行官皮查伊在幾乎每一次財報電話會議上對這一領域的重視程度,很難不懷疑谷歌的雲服務可能有助於塑造公司未來的盈利能力和市場主導地位。

Alphabet's Acquisitions: A Critical Role In Growth?

Alphabet的收購:在增長中扮演關鍵角色?

Last quarter, we saw GOOGL get a $4.75 billion boost in profit due to its startup acquisitions (though it didn't specify which companies contributed to the gains). Still, expansion by way of acquisitions appears to be an active part of GOOGL's growth mix, along with fellow peers MSFT and AMZN.

上個季度,我們看到GOOGL通過收購初創公司獲得了47.5億美元的利潤增長(儘管它沒有具體説明是哪些公司貢獻了這一收益)。不過,收購擴張似乎是GOOGL增長組閤中的一個活躍部分,其他同行微軟(MSFT)和AMZN也是如此。

The company bought up over 160 companies in the last 10 years. But with a formidable free cash flow trailing $50.7 billion over a 12-month period, according to CFO Ruth Porat's presentation in last quarter's earnings call, the company may have a sizable amount of cash to expand its portfolio along innovative lines.

在過去的10年裏,該公司收購了160多家公司。但根據首席財務官露絲·波拉特在上個季度財報電話會議上的陳述,在過去12個月裏,該公司的自由現金流高達507億美元,因此該公司可能有相當大的現金流來沿着創新路線擴大其投資組合。

Alphabet Leads Communications, Tech, And FAANG Year To Date

Alphabet今年到目前為止領先於通信、科技和FAANG

According to FactSet, Communication Services and Information Technology are among the sectors holding the highest analyst ratings. GOOGL—a "tech" stock under the "communications" sector category—has surpassed both sectors and its FAANG peers in terms of market performance.

根據FactSet的數據,通信服務和信息技術是分析師評級最高的行業之一。谷歌(GOOGL)--屬於“通信”板塊的“科技”類股票--在市場表現方面已超過這兩個板塊以及FAANG的同行。

Year to date, GOOGL is up 46%, leaving behind Communications (20.69%), Tech (16.45%), and its peer FAANG components. Its closest peer, lagging by a wide margin, is MSFT (26.68%). Looking far ahead, CFRA analysts project a three-year compound annual growth rate of 24% driven by global ad spend, and, on a segment level, driven by search, YouTube, and cloud.

今年到目前為止,GOOGL上漲了46%,落後於Communications(20.69%)、Tech(16.45%)和同行FAANG組件。它最接近的同行是微軟(26.68%),遠遠落後於微軟。展望未來,CFRA分析師預計,在全球廣告支出的推動下,未來三年的複合年增長率將達到24%,而在細分市場層面,則是搜索、YouTube和雲的推動。

As for the current quarter, the company withheld providing revenue and earnings guidance.

至於本季度,該公司拒絕提供收入和收益指引。

Alphabet Earnings And Options Activity

字母表收益和期權活動

GOOGL is expected to report adjusted EPS of $19.21, up from $10.13 in the prior-year quarter, according to third-party consensus analyst estimates. Revenue is projected at $56.02 billion, up 46.3% from a year ago.

谷歌預計將報告調整後每股收益為19.21美元據第三方共識分析師估計,這一數字高於去年同期的10.13美元。收入預計為560.2億美元,比一年前增長了46.3%。

Options traders have priced in an expected share price move of 3.2% in either direction around the earnings release. The implied volatility sits at the 25th percentile as of Thursday morning.

期權交易員預計,在財報發佈前後,股價將出現3.2%的預期波動。截至週四上午,隱含波動率位於第25個百分位數。

Looking at the July 30 options expiration, call activity is spread out with higher activity at the 2600 strike while puts have been active at the 2490 and 2500 strikes. 

看看7月30日的期權到期情況,看漲期權活動在2600點展開,而看跌期權在2490點和2500點一直活躍。

Note: Call options represent the right, but not the obligation, to buy the underlying security at a predetermined price over a set period of time. Put options represent the right, but not the obligation, to sell the underlying security at a predetermined price over a set period of time.

注:看漲期權代表在一段時間內以預定價格購買標的證券的權利,而不是義務。看跌期權代表的是在一段時間內以預定價格出售標的證券的權利,而不是義務。

TD Ameritrade® commentary for educational purposes only. Member SIPC. Options involve risks and are not suitable for all investors. Please read Characteristics and Risks of Standardized Options.

TD ameritrade®評論僅用於教育目的。成員SIPC。期權涉及風險,並不適合所有投資者。請閲讀標準化期權的特點和風險。

Image by Gerd Altmann from Pixabay

格爾德·阿爾特曼攝於皮克斯巴伊

声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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