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Is Tesla the meme stock of yesteryear?

Is Tesla the meme stock of yesteryear?

特斯拉是昔日的表情包嗎?
Dow Jones Newswires ·  2021/07/27 10:13  · 觀點

By Charley Grant

作者:查理·格蘭特(Charley Grant)

For years, $Tesla, Inc.(TSLA.US)$ stock charged ever-higher despite weak operating results. So far in 2021, that pattern has reversed itself.

多年來,$Tesla,Inc.(TSLA.US)$儘管經營業績疲軟,但股價仍在不斷上漲。2021年到目前為止,這種模式已經逆轉。

Second-quarter results from Elon Musk's automaker were the company's strongest on record. Tesla booked $11.9 billion in sales and earned $1.1 billion in quarterly profit according to generally accepted accounting principles. Both figures topped analyst expectations. And while Tesla sold $354 million of regulatory credits to rivals, the automaker would have easily finished the quarter in the black without them. Results were flattered by Tesla receiving certain goods and services from suppliers for which it hadn't yet been charged, but Mr. Musk still deserves credit for that strong performance.

埃隆·馬斯克(Elon Musk)的汽車製造商第二季度業績是該公司有記錄以來最強勁的。根據公認的會計原則,特斯拉錄得119億美元的銷售額和11億美元的季度利潤。這兩個數字都超過了分析師的預期。雖然特斯拉向競爭對手出售了3.54億美元的監管信貸,但如果沒有競爭對手,這家汽車製造商本季度就很容易實現盈利。特斯拉從供應商那裏獲得了一些尚未收費的商品和服務,這讓業績受到了誇大,但馬斯克的強勁表現仍值得稱讚。

Tesla managed to deliver more than 200,000 cars in the quarter despite the global semiconductor shortage. And the falling price of bitcoin, which the automaker carries on its balance sheet for some reason, only resulted in a $23 million hit to the bottom line.

儘管全球半導體短缺,特斯拉在本季度仍設法交付了20多萬輛汽車。而且,由於某種原因,這家汽車製造商將比特幣計入其資產負債表,比特幣價格的下跌只導致了2300萬美元的利潤下降。

But while Tesla's actual business has lately come of age, the stock isn't playing along. It was slightly higher on Tuesday morning, had dropped 9% so far this year, and is down by more than a fifth over the past six months, lagging bigger rivals like Ford and General Motors. Meme stock aficionados, who couldn't get enough of Tesla until recently, seem to have moved on to cryptocurrencies, brick-and-mortar video-game retailers, and movie-theater chains.

但是,儘管特斯拉的實際業務最近已經成熟,但它的股票並沒有表現得很好。週二上午略有上漲,今年到目前為止已經下跌了9%,在過去的六個月裏下跌了超過五分之一,落後於福特(Ford)和通用汽車(General Motors)等規模更大的競爭對手。迷因股票愛好者直到最近才對特斯拉感到厭倦,他們似乎已經轉向了加密貨幣、實體視頻遊戲零售商和電影院連鎖店。

One reason: Tesla's excellent results underscore how disconnected its valuation is from business reality. Tesla has earned $1.41 a share so far this year. If the automaker continues to shine in 2021, it might earn $4 a share on a GAAP basis. At the current stock price, the company is valued at more than 150 times that still-hypothetical earnings figure -- orders of magnitude higher than any comparable rival.

原因之一是:特斯拉的出色業績突顯出其估值與商業現實脱節的程度。今年到目前為止,特斯拉每股盈利1.41美元。如果這家汽車製造商在2021年繼續大放異彩,按公認會計准則(GAAP)計算,它可能會每股盈利4美元。按照目前的股價計算,該公司的估值是仍在假設的盈利數字的150倍以上,比任何可比競爭對手高出幾個數量級。

And the news wasn't entirely positive on Monday: Tesla said its semitrailer truck, which Mr. Musk first showed to the public in 2017, wouldn't begin production until next year. Given Tesla's decade-long track record of overpromising on timelines, investors shouldn't be expecting even this new guidance to hold up.

週一的消息並不完全是正面的:特斯拉表示,馬斯克於2017年首次向公眾展示的半掛車要到明年才會開始生產。考慮到特斯拉十年來在時間表上承諾過高的記錄,投資者甚至不應該指望這一新的指導方針能站得住腳。

Meanwhile, rivals such as $Ford Motor Co(F.US)$, $General Motors Co(GM.US)$, and $VOLKSWAGEN A G(VWAGY.US)$ are developing electric offerings of their own. And startups, including Lucid Motors, give investors more options to speculate on an electrified future.

與此同時,競爭對手,如$福特汽車公司(F.US)$, $通用汽車公司(GM.US)$,及$大眾汽車A G(VWAGY.US)$都在開發自己的電動產品。而包括Lucid Motors在內的初創公司,給了投資者更多的選擇來投機電氣化的未來。

Tesla seems to have put its most turbulent days behind it. That doesn't preclude a bumpy ride for its shareholders in the future.

特斯拉似乎已經擺脱了最動盪的日子。但這並不排除其股東未來會經歷一段坎坷的旅程。

(END) Dow Jones Newswires

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July 27, 2021 09:32 ET (13:32 GMT)

2021年7月27日09:32美國東部時間(格林尼治標準時間13:32)

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