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Opinion: ABNB stock hasn't moved much yet, but It's on the verge after earnings

Opinion: ABNB stock hasn't moved much yet, but It's on the verge after earnings

觀點:ABNB股價尚未有太大變動,但即將公佈財報
InvestorPlace ·  2021/08/16 11:39

$Airbnb(ABNB.US)$ was one of the hottest tech unicorns out there for many years. However, it had the misfortune of trying to launch its initial public offering (IPO). Airbnb eventually made its IPO happen in December 2020, but amid all the travel uncertainty, ABNB stock has had an underwhelming run so far.

$愛彼迎(荷蘭銀行)$是多年來最炙手可熱的科技獨角獸之一。然而,它不幸地試圖進行首次公開募股(IPO)。愛彼迎最終在2020年12月進行了首次公開募股,但在所有旅行的不確定性中,荷蘭銀行的股票迄今表現平平。

Yes, shares did pop in the spring as vaccine and reopening excitement picked up.

是的,隨着疫苗和重新開放的興奮情緒回升,股價在春季確實上漲了。

However, ABNB stock has been in a tailspin since then, and given the rough earnings season for many tech companies, it’s understandable why folks were nervous ahead of the company's earnings report Thursday.

然而,自那以來,ABNB的股價一直處於低迷狀態,考慮到許多科技公司的財報季都很艱難,人們在公司週四發佈財報前感到緊張是可以理解的。

Shares have seen mixed trading since the earnings release came out. However, ABNB stock owners should take cheer both from its earnings and those of its direct peers.

自財報發佈以來,股票交易喜憂參半。然而,ABNB的股東應該從其盈利和直接同行的盈利中獲得歡呼。

While Airbnb’s business model is unique, there are some reasonable comps to work with. For example, consider $Booking Holdings Inc(BKNG.US)$. Booking shares rallied 6% following strong Q2 results.

雖然愛彼迎的商業模式是獨一無二的,但也有一些合理的競爭對手。例如,考慮$Booking Holdings(BKNG.US)$。在第二季度業績強勁後,Booking股價上漲了6%。

Booking reported only a small operating loss for the quarter, which is a big improvement as it had been running tons of red ink previously.

Booking報告本季度只出現了小幅運營虧損,這是一個很大的改善,因為它之前一直在虧損。

The company’s hotel room reservations surged 59% for the second quarter of 2021 compared to the first quarter, which led to the recovery for Booking. This is even more impressive than it sounds, since usually, the second quarter is slightly weaker than the first one for Booking, according to CEO Glenn Fogel.

與第一季度相比,該公司2021年第二季度的酒店客房預訂量激增59%,這導致了預訂量的回升。首席執行官格倫·福格爾(Glenn Fogel)表示,這甚至比聽起來更令人印象深刻,因為通常情況下,第二季度的預訂量略低於第一季度。

Furthermore, 59% is a huge jump sequentially and points to how quickly normal leisure travel demand is returning. Fogel pointed to a particular rebound in travel in Europe. We see that with Airbnb as well. Airbnb reported that its cross-border European bookings have now surpassed 2019 levels.

此外,59%的環比是一個巨大的躍升,表明正常的休閒旅遊需求恢復得有多快。福格爾指出,歐洲的旅遊出現了特別的反彈。我們在愛彼迎身上也看到了這一點。愛彼迎報道,其跨境歐洲預訂量現在已經超過了2019年的水平。

Meanwhile, $Expedia Group Inc(EXPE.US)$ announced a more mixed set of results. Shares traded up sharply prior to its earnings report but then dropped back following the results.

同時,$Expedia Group Inc.(EXPE.US)$公佈了一套更加喜憂參半的結果。股價在財報公佈前大幅上漲,但在財報公佈後回落。

A closer look at the company’s numbers, however, showed that lodging was strong with vacation bookings, in particular, is a high point. To the extent that Expedia was underwhelmed, it was in part due to corporate travel failing to recover quickly.

然而,仔細觀察該公司的數據就會發現,住宿情況很強勁,尤其是度假預訂,這是一個高點。在一定程度上,Expedia的表現平平,部分原因是商務旅行未能迅速恢復。

However, Airbnb is not so heavily levered to corporate travel and indeed ended up seeing the same tailwinds as Expedia did in the leisure business.

然而,愛彼迎對商務旅行的槓桿率並不是那麼高,確實最終看到了Expedia在休閒業務方面的同樣順風。

Return To Growth Mode?

是否返回增長模式?

Airbnb reported a well-above-expectations Q2, and management said that it is expecting its biggest numbers ever in Q3, even topping pre-pandemic levels. So with the core business back on track, what else is moving the needle for Airbnb?

愛彼迎報告的第二季度遠遠超出預期,管理層表示,預計第三季度的數字將達到有史以來的最高水平,甚至超過大流行前的水平。那麼,隨着核心業務重回正軌,還有什麼在為愛彼迎撥雲見日呢?

One key thing will be in Airbnb’s investments in experiences and other ancillary ventures.

一件關鍵的事情將是愛彼迎對體驗和其他附屬企業的投資。

In 2019, Airbnb started to move heavily into the experiences space, where travelers could buy things such as kayak trips, coffee plantation tours, cooking lessons, and much more from local guides. In theory, this would allow Airbnb to earn higher margins and diversify its product away from just the competitive lodging space.

2019年,愛彼迎開始大舉進軍體驗空間,遊客可以在那裏從當地導遊那裏購買皮划艇旅行、咖啡種植園之旅、烹飪課程等更多東西。從理論上講,這將使愛彼迎獲得更高的利潤率,並使其產品多樣化,而不僅僅是競爭激烈的住宿空間。

Alas, the pandemic put most of these plans on ice. Though, the company did keep experiences going to a certain degree through virtual events. Now, however, Airbnb should be able to start really pushing this potentially large revenue channel once again.

唉,大流行讓這些計劃中的大部分都被擱置了。不過,該公司確實通過虛擬活動在一定程度上保持了體驗。然而,現在愛彼迎應該能夠再次真正開始推動這一潛在的巨大收入渠道。

Airbnb also had other businesses in the works, such as building out local transportation offerings. This was also sidelined during the pandemic, but the company could look to get this moving again in the near term.

愛彼迎還在籌備其他業務,比如建造當地的交通產品。在大流行期間,這一點也被擱置一邊,但該公司可能會尋求在短期內讓這一點再次啟動。

Meanwhile, there was at least one major benefit from the pandemic. CFO Dave Stephenson commented that the pandemic was a “reset” moment for a lot of local cities and states as far as regulation goes.

與此同時,這場大流行至少有一個主要好處。首席財務官戴夫·斯蒂芬森(Dave Stephenson)評論説,就監管而言,大流行對許多當地城市和州來説是一個“重啟”的時刻。

Cities like Barcelona had previously been looking to ban or heavily regulate Airbnb. In the new post-pandemic world, however, the regulatory environment has become more favorable to Airbnb as cities want their tourist sectors to get moving again by any means necessary.

像巴塞羅那這樣的城市此前一直在尋求禁賽或嚴格監管愛彼迎。然而,在大流行後的新世界裏,監管環境對愛彼迎來説變得更加有利,因為城市希望他們的旅遊業不惜一切必要的手段重新開始行動。

ABNB Stock Verdict

ABNB股票判決

Airbnb delivered a strong result this quarter. Regardless of that, shares haven't moved much, at least not yet. This gives investors a chance to take a position in ABNB stock ahead of what management forecasts will be a blockbuster third quarter.

愛彼迎本季度業績強勁。儘管如此,股價並沒有太大變動,至少目前還沒有。這給了投資者一個機會,在管理層預測第三季度將是重磅炸彈之前,持有ABNB股票的頭寸。

It’s not just Airbnb either. Looking at other travel companies, it seems clear that the leisure and vacation business is rapidly stabilizing.

也不僅僅是愛彼迎。縱觀其他旅遊公司,休閒度假業務似乎正在迅速企穩。

Despite all the uncertainty of the pandemic, things are returning to normal. That, in turn, should give Airbnb a solid trajectory in the coming months.

儘管存在大流行的所有不確定性,但情況正在恢復正常。這反過來又應該會讓愛彼迎在未來幾個月有一個堅實的發展軌跡。

On the date of publication, Ian Bezek did not have (either directly or indirectly) any positions in the securities mentioned in this article. The opinions expressed in this article are those of the writer, subject to the InvestorPlace.com Publishing Guidelines.

在本文發表之日,伊恩·貝澤克(Ian Bezek)並未(直接或間接)持有本文所述證券的任何頭寸。本文表達的觀點是作者的觀點,以InvestorPlace.com為準出版指南.


声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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