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Key drivers of stock returns

Key drivers of stock returns

股票回報的主要驅動因素
moomoo Courses ·  2021/12/15 01:53

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As we learned before, stocks have the highest historical returns among main financial assets.

正如我們之前瞭解到的,股票是主要金融資產中歷史回報率最高的。

But you may still wonder whether the stock return is reliable and sustainable.

但你可能仍會懷疑股票回報是否可靠和可持續。

"Can I continue to make money from the market in the future?"

“我未來還能繼續從市場賺錢嗎?”

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Unlike cryptocurrencies with wild fluctuations, stock investment is more reliable and sustainable. 

與劇烈波動的加密貨幣不同,股票投資更可靠、更可持續。

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Why?

為什麼?

Because investing in stocks is like growing fruit trees with the expectation of raking in profits. 

因為投資股票就像種果樹,期望能賺大錢。

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Suppose you're planting an apple tree.

假設你正在種植一棵蘋果樹。

There is no doubt that growing fruit trees requires time, commitment, and money.

毫無疑問,種植果樹需要時間、承諾和金錢。

Where can you get enough start-up capital? 

你從哪裏能獲得足夠的啟動資金?

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You can raise funds from investors interested in this apple business.

你可以從對蘋果業務感興趣的投資者那裏籌集資金。

Each investor is a shareholder of the tree and owns a portion of shares.

每個投資者都是這棵樹的股東,並擁有一部分股份。

Share represents a part of the ownership of the tree, which means that shareholders can be co-owners of apples in the future. 

股份代表了這棵樹所有權的一部分,這意味着股東未來可以成為蘋果的共同所有者。

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When you have enough money, you start to plant the apple tree and care it with efforts.

當你有了足夠的錢,你就開始種植蘋果樹,並努力照料它。

The growing process is like business operation. 

成長的過程就像商業運作一樣。

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To have ripe, juicy apples, you have to spend time and efforts in the early days. 

要有成熟多汁的蘋果,你必須在早期花費時間和努力。

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A few years later, it grows into a big apple tree.

幾年後,它長成了一棵大蘋果樹。

Every year during the harvest season, you will reap a certain number of apples.

每年收穫季節,你都會收穫一定數量的蘋果。

These apples, the returns of investment, will be distributed to each shareholder of the tree. 

這些蘋果,即投資回報,將分配給這棵樹的每個股東。

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In addition to apple trees, there are also various fruit trees in the orchard.

除了蘋果樹,果園裏還有各種各樣的果樹。

If a specific stock is viewed as a fruit tree, then the stock market is similar to an orchard. 

如果把一隻特定的股票看作一棵果樹,那麼股票市場就類似於一座果園。

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The stock market is a place where stocks are issued, bought, and sold.

股票市場是股票發行、買賣的場所。

In the orchard, you can trade shares of fruit trees.

在果園裏,你可以交易果樹的股份。

In the stock market, you can deal in shares of stocks. 

在股票市場,你可以買賣股票。

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We all enter the market for high returns.

我們都是為了高回報而進入市場。

But do you know how the profits are generated? 

但你知道利潤是怎麼產生的嗎?

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For an apple tree, there are two main ways to generate gains.

對於一棵蘋果樹來説,有兩種主要的方式來產生收益。

One is the fruit, and the other is the growth of the tree. 

一個是果實,另一個是樹的生長。

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Similarly, stock returns also come from two aspects.

同樣,股票收益也來自兩個方面。

The "dividend" paid to investors, like the fruit. 

支付給投資者的“紅利”,就像果實一樣。

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And the "growth" in company value, like the growth of the tree. 

公司價值的“增長”,就像樹的生長一樣。

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That seeds grow to apple trees is a process under the law of nature.

種子長成蘋果樹是自然規律下的一個過程。

Typically, in the early stages, it grows at a fast speed.

通常,在早期階段,它會快速增長。

Like many successful startups, when their products are introduced to users in the beginning, the companies tend to experience an exponential growth. 

像許多成功的初創公司一樣,當他們的產品在一開始向用户介紹時,這些公司往往會經歷指數級的增長。

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At the stage of full maturity, the tree begins to bear fruits steadily.

在完全成熟的階段,樹開始穩定地結果。

It's common that many high-growth companies gradually slow down their growth after years of competition. 

在多年的競爭之後,許多高增長的公司逐漸放慢增長速度,這是很常見的。

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Normally, we can categorize companies into two types: growth company and mature company.

一般來説,我們可以將公司分為兩類:成長型公司和成熟型公司。

Investing in growth companies, you will receive a small number of dividends but can benefit from a robust growth in the future.

投資於成長型公司,你將獲得少量紅利,但可以從未來強勁的增長中受益。

Investing in mature companies, you will have stable returns with relatively high dividends. 

投資成熟的公司,你會有穩定的回報和相對較高的股息。

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For example, $Tesla(TSLA.US)$, an electric carmaker, has never paid a dividend since its IPO in 2010, but it has posted robust sales growth.

例如,$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$這家電動汽車製造商自2010年首次公開募股(IPO)以來從未派發過股息,但該公司公佈了強勁的銷售增長。

In contrast, while $Coca-Cola(KO.US)$'s sales performance has been stagnated over the past 10 years, it continues to pay high dividends to its shareholders. 

相比之下,雖然$可口可樂(KO.US)$過去10年來,其銷售業績停滯不前,繼續向股東支付高額股息。

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Why do so many investors love $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ stock?

為什麼這麼多投資者喜歡$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$股票?

Keep in mind, the return of growth is usually much more considerable than that of dividends.

請記住,增長的回報通常比股息的回報要可觀得多。

This means that if you have bought shares of $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ and $Coca-Cola(KO.US)$ 10 years ago and held them until 2021, you could make more money from $Tesla(TSLA.US)$ investment. 

這意味着如果你購買了$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$$可口可樂(KO.US)$10年前,持有到2021年,你可以賺更多的錢$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$投資。

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To sum up, investing in stocks is like planting trees.

總而言之,投資股票就像種樹。

If you spend more time and effort, you are more likely to reap fruits.

如果你花更多的時間和精力,你就更有可能收穫果實。

In addition to time and effort, learning of methods and strategies is necessary.

除了時間和精力,學習方法和策略也是必要的。

The following chapters will focus on these aspects. 

以下各章將集中討論這些方面。

For more investment knowledge and trends, welcome to Courses in the Community.

欲瞭解更多投資知識和趨勢,歡迎訪問課程在社區裏。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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