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The secret behind charts

The secret behind charts

圖表背後的祕密
Moomoo Courses ·  2021/12/02 01:48

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We got a helpful tip from the last lesson: to buy a wonderful company at a fair price.

我們從上一節課中得到了一個有用的提示:以公平的價格收購一家優秀的公司。

But what are the factors affecting the price?

但是影響價格的因素是什麼呢?

Well, fundamentals represent one side of the coin, while technical analysis is often the other. 

嗯,基本面是硬幣的一面,而技術分析往往是另一面。

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Stock prices rise and fall. It's nothing unusual.

股票價格有漲有跌。這沒什麼不尋常的。

Even for a wonderful company, there are ups and downs.

即使是一家出色的公司,也會有起伏。

So the question is, how to spot the highs and lows?

因此,問題是,如何發現高點和低點?

The answer is sought after by almost all market players.

幾乎所有的市場參與者都在尋找答案。

Among all approaches in the market, technical analysis is a widely-used one. 

在市場上的所有方法中,技術分析是一種被廣泛使用的方法。

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Technical analysis involves many tools.

技術分析涉及很多工具。

Let's get started with the most basic and commonly used one: candlesticks. 

讓我們從最基本、最常用的一個開始吧:燭臺。

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If you pay attention to a stock's daily chart, you'll find that price movements are usually not displayed in the form of a line chart. 

如果你注意一隻股票的日線圖,你會發現價格的變動通常不會以折線圖的形式顯示。

Instead, they are displayed in what is known as a candlestick chart which conveys more information about a stock. 

相反,它們被顯示在被稱為燭臺圖的地方,它傳達了關於股票的更多信息。

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Let's first take a look at this line chart.

我們先來看一下這張折線圖。

What does it tell us?

它告訴我們什麼?

Apparently, we can tell there's a sharp price decline, but anything else?

很明顯,我們可以看出價格有大幅下降,但還有其他的嗎?

The answer is probably no.

答案可能是否定的。

To learn more about a stock, we can turn to a candlestick chart. 

要了解更多關於股票的信息,我們可以看燭臺圖。

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From the candlesticks, we can tell that the stock made multiple attempts to drop below $100 but eventually failed and bounced back. 

從燭臺上我們可以看出,該股曾多次試圖跌破100美元,但最終都失敗了,並出現反彈。

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In this example, $100 is known as a support level where traders step in to avoid a further price drop.

在這個例子中,100美元被認為是交易員為避免價格進一步下跌而介入的支撐位。

Likewise, if the price meets pressure on its way up and cannot climb over a certain level, such level is known as a resistance level, where a growing number of sellers sell the stock at that price. 

同樣,如果價格在上漲過程中遇到壓力,無法攀升到一定水平,那麼這種水平就被稱為阻力位,越來越多的賣家在這個價格賣出股票。

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Candlesticks reflect the trading activities of buyers and sellers.

燭臺反映了買賣雙方的交易活動。

Before you can read a full candlestick chart, you need to know what each candle is made up of. Let's start with the body, shadow, and color of a daily candle.

在你閲讀完整的燭臺圖之前,你需要知道每根蠟燭是由什麼組成的。讓我們從日常蠟燭的身體、陰影和顏色開始。

The body tells the day's open and close, the shadow shows the day's high and low, and the color tells the direction of movement during the period the candle was formed. 

身體告訴人們一天的開合,陰影顯示一天的高低,顏色告訴人們蠟燭形成期間的運動方向。

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If the closing price is higher than the opening price, the candle will often be colored green to represent a bullish candle.

如果收盤價高於開盤價,蠟燭通常會被塗成綠色,代表看漲蠟燭。

Conversely, if the closing price is lower than the opening price, it is usually colored red to represent a bearish candle. 

相反,如果收盤價低於開盤價,它通常會被塗成紅色,代表看跌的蠟燭。

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For example, a green candle will be formed if a stock opens at $155 and closes at $156, with the intraday high and low being $157 and $154, respectively.

例如,如果一隻股票開盤報155美元,收盤報156美元,將形成綠色蠟燭,盤中高點和低點分別為157美元和154美元。

Based on the candle's body, shadow and color, we could quickly understand its intraday price movements. 

根據蠟燭的形體、陰影和顏色,我們可以迅速瞭解其盤中價格走勢。

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Every candle reveals a battle of emotions between buyers and sellers.

每根蠟燭都揭示了買家和賣家之間的情感之戰。

In general, there are three types of candlestick interpretations: bullish, bearish, and neutral. 

一般説來,燭臺有三種類型的解讀:看漲、看跌和中性。

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A full body candle indicates strong buying or selling, meaning that the buying or selling power is strong enough to push the stock price far from the open and to maintain the trend at market close. 

全身蠟燭表示強勁的買入或賣出,意味着買入或賣出的力量足夠強大,足以推動股價遠離開盤,並在收盤時保持走勢。

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If a candle has long upper and lower shadows, it indicates high volatility occurred during the trading session, meaning that the stock price fluctuated substantially with both bulls and bears unable to overcome each other.

如果一根蠟燭有很長的上下陰影,這表明交易時段發生了很大的波動,這意味着股價大幅波動,多頭和空頭都無法克服對方。

That's why a candle with long shadows often indicates a neutral sentiment. 

這就是為什麼有長長陰影的蠟燭通常意味着中立的情緒。

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We can more or less sense the intraday sentiment on a stock from one candle, but the information we gain from a series of candles can be a lot more valuable. 

我們或多或少可以從一支蠟燭上感受到一隻股票的盤中情緒,但我們從一系列蠟燭上獲得的信息可能要有價值得多。

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Let's start with two daily candles, a bull and a bear.

讓我們從每天兩支蠟燭開始,一隻公牛和一隻熊。

If we combine the two candles into one, what would we get? 

如果我們把這兩支蠟燭合為一支,我們會得到什麼?

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The result is a third candle representing the open, high, low, and close over the past two days.

結果是第三支蠟燭,代表過去兩天的開盤、高點、低點和收盤價。

The third candle has a small body, a short upper shadow, and a long lower shadow, suggesting that the price dropped sharply before buyers stepped in and pushed it back.

第三支蠟燭的主體很小,上面的陰影很短,下面的陰影很長,這表明在買家介入並將其推回之前,價格大幅下跌。

From this example, we can tell that by switching the time frame for candlesticks, we may get a completely different story. 

從這個例子中,我們可以看出,通過改變燭臺的時間框架,我們可能會得到一個完全不同的故事。

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To further explore the meaning of candlesticks, let's take a look at another example.

為了進一步探討燭臺的含義,讓我們來看另一個例子。

This daily chart seems to show a downward trend, right?

這張日線圖似乎是呈下降趨勢,對吧?

But when we set a longer time frame, say weekly, guess what will happen? 

但是當我們設定一個更長的時間框架,比如説每週,你猜會發生什麼?

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It seems that the stock maintains an upward trend!

看起來這隻股票保持着上漲的趨勢!

By referring to both daily and weekly charts, we can tell that the recent drop in share price may indicate a correction instead of a downward trend or reversal. 

從日線圖和周線圖可以看出,近期股價下跌可能意味着回調,而不是下跌趨勢或反轉。

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Keep in mind, although candlesticks are helpful in quickly reading market sentiment, they should be used along with other technical analysis tools to interpret the overall market trend. 

請記住,儘管燭臺有助於快速解讀市場情緒,但它們應該與其他技術分析工具一起使用,以解讀整體市場趨勢。

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'How can I better understand the market trend?' you may ask.

他説,我怎樣才能更好地瞭解市場趨勢?你可能會問。

No hurry, we're going to figure this out in the next chapter! 

不着急,我們會在下一章解決這個問題的!

For more investment knowledge and trends, welcome to Courses in the Community.

欲瞭解更多投資知識和趨勢,歡迎訪問課程在社區裏。

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声明:本內容僅用作提供資訊及教育之目的,不構成對任何特定投資或投資策略的推薦或認可。 更多信息
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