Cathie Wood's ARK stays the course, betting big on innovation
Cathie Wood's ARK stays the course, betting big on innovation
By Michael Wursthorn
邁克爾·維爾鬆(Michael Wursthorn)著
Cathie Wood's ARK Investment Management LLC is snapping up more shares of largely unprofitable companies, doubling down on a bet that many traders and investors expect to be tested this year by rising interest rates.
凱西·伍德(Cathie Wood)的方舟投資管理公司(Ark Investment Management LLC)正在搶購更多基本上無利可圖的公司的股票,加倍押注,許多交易員和投資者預計今年將受到利率上升的考驗。
Over the past two weeks, Ms. Wood's flagship $ARK Innovation ETF(ARKK.US)$ has bought more than $400 million of high-growth stocks, including $Roblox(RBLX.US)$, $Block(SQ.US)$ and $Robinhood(HOOD.US)$. That's according to the firm's daily trading logs and stock-pricing data as of Friday. She says the companies, which span videogaming, digital payments, trading and other industries, have the potential to change the world.
在過去的兩週裏,伍德女士的旗艦產品$方舟創新ETF(ARKK.US)$購買了超過4億美元的高成長股,包括$Roblox(RBLX.US)$, $阻止(SQ.US)$和$Robinhood(HOOD.US)$。這是根據該公司截至上週五的每日交易記錄和股票定價數據得出的。她説,這些公司橫跨視頻遊戲、數字支付、貿易和其他行業,有可能改變世界。
Shares of Roblox, Block and Robinhood are down at least 25% each over the first six weeks of the year. More than half of all of the stocks in the ETF, which goes by the ticker ARKK, are down 20% or more in 2022, according to FactSet.
今年前六週,Roblox、Block和Robinhood的股價分別下跌了至少25%。根據FactSet的數據,這隻代號為Arkk的ETF中有一半以上的股票在2022年下跌了20%或更多。
ARK was among the big winners of the pandemic era, which featured big gains in shares of many unprofitable companies and cryptocurrencies, such as bitcoin, as a result of low interest rates and extensive stimulus. Investors in these assets are now facing a rising interest-rate environment that stands to be much less forgiving to unprofitable firms or those trading at high valuations.
方舟是大流行時代的大贏家之一,由於低利率和廣泛的刺激措施,許多無利可圖的公司和比特幣等加密貨幣的股價大幅上漲。這些資產的投資者現在面臨着不斷上升的利率環境,對無利可圖的公司或那些估值較高的公司來説,這種環境將變得不那麼寬容。
That doesn't bode well for Ms. Wood and her ARK funds, analysts said. When rates are low, companies often are freed to spend more on investing in their businesses and reduce the amount they spend servicing debt. Higher rates push up borrowing costs and potentially delay profitability.
分析師説,這對伍德和她的方舟基金來説不是好兆頭。當利率較低時,公司通常可以自由地在業務投資上投入更多資金,減少償債支出。更高的利率推高了借貸成本,並可能推遲盈利。
"Aggressive growth stocks are naturally disadvantaged when rates are rising," said Robby Greengold, an analyst with Morningstar.
晨星(Morningstar)分析師羅比·格林戈爾德(Robby Greengold)表示:“當利率上升時,激進的成長型股票自然處於不利地位。”
The ARK Innovation ETF is down 24% this year, matching its decline in 2021. The fund has lagged well behind the broader stock market, which has come under pressure, too. The S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite have fallen 7.3% and 12%, respectively, in 2022 after logging double-digit increases last year.
方舟創新ETF今年下跌24%,與2021年的跌幅持平。該基金的表現遠遠落後於大盤,大盤也面臨壓力。繼去年錄得兩位數漲幅後,標準普爾500指數和納斯達克綜合指數在2022年分別下跌了7.3%和12%。
ARK has largely stuck to its strategy of buying and holding shares of companies it believes offer the greatest potential for change and innovation. $Tesla(TSLA.US)$, $Roku Inc(ROKU.US)$ and $Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$ were the top three holdings in the innovation fund as of Friday. That is similar to early 2021, when Tesla, Roku and Block were the top three, with Teladoc coming in fifth.
方舟在很大程度上堅持其購買和持有其認為具有最大變革和創新潛力的公司的股票的戰略。$特斯拉(TSLA.US)$, $Roku Inc.(ROKU.US)$和$Teladoc Health(TDOC.US)$是截至週五創新基金的前三大持有量。這與2021年初類似,當時特斯拉、Roku和Block位居前三,Teladoc位居第五。
Tesla, Roku and Teladoc are all down at least 19% in 2022, partly reversing large gains in 2020 when the pandemic turned them into stock-market darlings.
特斯拉、Roku和Teladoc在2022年都下跌了至少19%,部分逆轉了2020年的大幅漲幅,當時疫情讓它們成為股市寵兒。
There have been some changes to the innovation fund, too. $Zillow-C(Z.US)$, for example, was a top 10 holding last year and ARK frequently added to its position. It eventually unloaded the shares last fall, after the company said it was exiting the home-buying space following substantial losses.
創新基金也有一些變化。$Zillow-C(Z.US)$例如,去年是前10名的持有量,方舟經常增加其頭寸。去年秋天,在該公司表示在大幅虧損後將退出購房空間後,該公司最終拋售了這些股票。
A spokeswoman for ARK referred to recent videos by Ms. Wood highlighting the firm's strategy and take on market conditions.
方舟的一位女發言人提到了伍德最近發佈的強調公司戰略和應對市場狀況的視頻。
"Today, we are still seeing things very differently from many others out there, particularly when it comes to inflation and interest rates and most importantly, innovation," Ms. Wood said in a video to investors this month.
伍德本月在給投資者的一段視頻中説,“今天,我們的看法仍然與其他許多人截然不同,特別是在通脹和利率方面,最重要的是在創新方面。”
Ms. Wood added that a rise in Treasury yields to 3% would be more of an issue for mature growth companies facing steeper competition rather than the "super growth companies" she favors. She likened the situation to the early 2000s, saying $Amazon(AMZN.US)$ managed to achieve double-digit annual revenue growth.
伍德補充説,對於面臨更激烈競爭的成熟成長型公司來説,美國國債收益率升至3%將是更大的問題,而不是她青睞的“超級成長型公司”。她將目前的情況比作21世紀初,她説$亞馬遜(AMZN.US)$設法實現了兩位數的年收入增長。
"You would've bought that stock all day long as a value investor," Ms. Wood said. "And of course the returns would've been phenomenal. We are in that same place with truly emerging growth right now."
伍德説,“作為價值型投資者,你可能會一整天都在買入這隻股票。”“當然,回報將是驚人的。我們現在正處於同樣的位置,擁有真正新興的增長。”
Ms. Wood's message appears to be winning over some supporters. ARKK has gotten $350.8 million of net inflows over the past week, including more than $300 million on Thursday, its biggest single-day inflow since June, according to FactSet.
伍德的信息似乎正在贏得一些支持者的支持。根據FactSet的數據,Arkk過去一週淨流入3.508億美元,其中週四淨流入逾3億美元,為6月以來最大單日流入。
But Ms. Wood's detractors remain.
但伍德的批評者依然存在。
Bearish bets against ARKK account for nearly 16% of the fund's shares, according to data from S3 Partners. That is down from a peak of 17.3% in mid-January, but well above levels over most of the fund's lifespan.
根據S3 Partners的數據,看跌Arkk的股票佔該基金份額的近16%。這低於1月中旬17.3%的峯值,但遠高於該基金大部分壽命的水平。
Besides that, an ETF designed to track the inverse of ARKK's performance, the $Tuttle Capital Short Innovation ETF(SARK.US)$, has taken net inflows of nearly $200 million from investors so far this year, pushing assets to $309.8 million, according to FactSet data. The ETF, which goes by the ticker SARK, is up 24% in 2022.
此外,一隻旨在跟蹤方舟業績反轉的ETF,$Tuttle Capital做空創新ETF(SARK.US)$根據FactSet的數據,今年迄今已從投資者那裏淨流入近2億美元,將資產推高至3.098億美元。這隻代號為Sark的ETF在2022年上漲了24%。
"There's demand out there to be short ARKK," said Matthew Tuttle, chief executive of Tuttle Capital. "We look at this as a better way to hedge your portfolio."
塔特爾資本(Tuttle Capital)首席執行官馬修·塔特爾(Matthew Tuttle)表示:“市場上有做空方舟的需求。”“我們認為這是對衝你的投資組合的更好方式。”
Ms. Wood called the rollout of ETFs such as SARK "interesting" in her video before reiterating her view that disruption shouldn't be underestimated.
伍德在視頻中稱SARK等ETF的推出“很有趣”,然後重申了她的觀點,即不應低估顛覆性。
"I think history tells us not to bet against innovation," she said.
她説:“我認為歷史告訴我們不要押注於創新。”
Write to Michael Wursthorn at Michael.Wursthorn@wsj.com
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