During 2000-2003 the US economy was impacted by multiple negative forces including a recession, a 49% decline in the S&P500, and the shock of 9/11, but US house prices grew at a 9% annual rate during this period. Thus, macro-economic distress needn't always lead to falling home prices. However, we think the present situation differs from that of 2000-2003 in two respects: (1) during 2000-2003 unemployment rates peaked at 6% while our Economics team sees unemployment reaching 9% in the coming quarters (2) 30-year mortgage rates fell by 300bp during 2000-2003 but currently have less room to compress. On net, we think the strong positive and strong negative forces affecting the US housing market will lead to a 2% decline in national a
Independence Realty Trust, Inc.股票討論
新增數據：23Q3，23Q4，營收持續小幅增長，營業利潤持續小幅萎縮，淨利潤Q4轉爲虧損。
2023年營收增長5.2%，營業利潤增長58.8%，淨利潤轉爲虧損，每股淨資產減少4.9%。
2019至今每股淨資產從6.76增長到15.29，4年平均增速爲22.6%，股息率4%，市淨率1，綜合來看估值仍有折扣，暫不做調整。
5年來營收在前4年持續增長，平均增速爲11.6%，受2021Q4的併購影響，2022年營收大幅增長1.5倍，營業利潤前4年受營業費用不斷攀升影響變化不大，2022年猛增79.3%，淨利潤在2022年暴增1.65倍。
2023上半年營收增長6.6%，營業利潤受折舊費用大幅下降影響增長了4.4倍（這個很奇怪，照理說資產越多折舊應該越大才對），淨利潤則由於缺乏資產出售收益的加持大幅萎縮71.4%。
總資產65億中有62億是房地產，總負債28億。
目前市盈率27，市盈率TTM已經提高到了44.7，市淨率0.9，股息率4%，可以謹慎選擇(⭐️)
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(1) during 2000-2003 unemployment rates peaked at 6% while our Economics team sees unemployment reaching 9% in the coming quarters
(2) 30-year mortgage rates fell by 300bp during 2000-2003 but currently have less room to compress.
On net, we think the strong positive and strong negative forces affecting the US housing market will lead to a 2% decline in national a
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