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The Fed's favorite inflation indicator rose less than expected in August
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💡Summary: • Excluding energy and food, the PCE grew 3.9% Year over Year. • Consumers were in line with the Bureau of Economic Analysis foreca もっと見る
💡Summary:
• Excluding energy and food, the PCE grew 3.9% Year over Year.
• Consumers were in line with the Bureau of Economic Analysis forecasted a 3.9% change, compared to last month's 4.3%.

U.S. Core PCE Price Index YoY: Actual 3.9% Forecast 3.9% Previous 4.3%. The Core PCE price Index is the less volatile measure of the PCE price index, which excludes the more volatile and seasonal food and energy prices. The impact on the currency may go both ways; inflation may lead to a rise in interest rates and the value of local currency. During a recession, a rise in inflation may lead to a deepened recession and a fall in currency.
U.S. Core PCE Price Index Month over Month Actual 0.1% Forecast 0.2% Previous 0.2%. A higher-than-expected reading should be taken as positive/bullish for the USD, while a lower-than-expected reading should be taken as negative/bearish for the USD. A higher PCE means inflation might have risen too high in inflation and interest rate times.

Before pandemic-related inflation, the PCE would change only 1-2% year over year, and only 0.1% every month, and some months even retracted as prices decreased. The Federal Reserve Open Market Committee uses indicators like consumer spending and prices to determine.

🎙️Q:
1. Do you think inflation is tapering off?
2. How do high consumer prices affect your portfolio?

View disclosures here.
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