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Shenwu Energy Saving's (SZSE:000820) Problems Go Beyond Poor Profit

Simply Wall St ·  2022/09/11 08:35

The recent earnings release from Shenwu Energy Saving Co., Ltd. (SZSE:000820 ) was disappointing to investors. We looked deeper and believe that there is even more to be worried about, beyond the soft profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Shenwu Energy Saving

earnings-and-revenue-historySZSE:000820 Earnings and Revenue History September 11th 2022

Examining Cashflow Against Shenwu Energy Saving's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). To get the accrual ratio we first subtract FCF from profit for a period, and then divide that number by the average operating assets for the period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to June 2022, Shenwu Energy Saving had an accrual ratio of 1.68. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CN¥91m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CN¥25.1m. We also note that Shenwu Energy Saving's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of CN¥91m. Having said that, there is more to the story. We can see that unusual items have impacted its statutory profit, and therefore the accrual ratio.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Shenwu Energy Saving.

The Impact Of Unusual Items On Profit

On top of the noteworthy accrual ratio and the spike in non-operating revenue, we can also see that Shenwu Energy Saving benefitted from unusual items worth CN¥427m in the last twelve months. We can't deny that higher profits generally leave us optimistic, but we'd prefer it if the profit were to be sustainable. We ran the numbers on most publicly listed companies worldwide, and it's very common for unusual items to be once-off in nature. And that's as you'd expect, given these boosts are described as 'unusual'. We can see that Shenwu Energy Saving's positive unusual items were quite significant relative to its profit in the year to June 2022. As a result, we can surmise that the unusual items are making its statutory profit significantly stronger than it would otherwise be.

Our Take On Shenwu Energy Saving's Profit Performance

Shenwu Energy Saving had a weak accrual ratio, but its profit did receive a boost from unusual items. For all the reasons mentioned above, we think that, at a glance, Shenwu Energy Saving's statutory profits could be considered to be low quality, because they are likely to give investors an overly positive impression of the company. Keep in mind, when it comes to analysing a stock it's worth noting the risks involved. Every company has risks, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for Shenwu Energy Saving you should know about.

Our examination of Shenwu Energy Saving has focussed on certain factors that can make its earnings look better than they are. And, on that basis, we are somewhat skeptical. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. Some people consider a high return on equity to be a good sign of a quality business. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying to be useful.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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