Hopefluent Group Holdings Limited (HKG:733) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 11%.
Even after such a large drop in price, Hopefluent Group Holdings' price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of -4.9x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the market in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/E ratios above 10x and even P/E's above 21x are quite common. However, the P/E might be quite low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
Recent times have been quite advantageous for Hopefluent Group Holdings as its earnings have been rising very briskly. One possibility is that the P/E is low because investors think this strong earnings growth might actually underperform the broader market in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders have reason to be quite optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Hopefluent Group Holdings
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hopefluent Group Holdings' earnings, revenue and cash flow.
How Is Hopefluent Group Holdings' Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as depressed as Hopefluent Group Holdings' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 46% gain to the company's bottom line. Still, EPS has barely risen at all from three years ago in total, which is not ideal. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Weighing that recent medium-term earnings trajectory against the broader market's one-year forecast for expansion of 25% shows it's noticeably less attractive on an annualised basis.
With this information, we can see why Hopefluent Group Holdings is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the bourse.
The Final Word
Shares in Hopefluent Group Holdings have plummeted and its P/E is now low enough to touch the ground. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
As we suspected, our examination of Hopefluent Group Holdings revealed its three-year earnings trends are contributing to its low P/E, given they look worse than current market expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in earnings isn't great enough to justify a higher P/E ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Hopefluent Group Holdings (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.
You might be able to find a better investment than Hopefluent Group Holdings. If you want a selection of possible candidates, check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
このように価格が大幅に下落した後でも、Hopefluent Group Holdingsの-4.9倍という株価収益率(または「P/E」)は、約半数の企業の株価収益率が10倍を超え、株価収益率が21倍を超えることもよくある香港市場と比較すると、現時点ではまだ強い買いであるように見えるかもしれません。ただし、株価収益率は何らかの理由でかなり低い可能性があり、それが正当かどうかを判断するにはさらなる調査が必要です。
最近では、Hopefluent Group Holdingsの収益が非常に活発に増加しているため、非常に有利な状況になっています。1つの可能性は、株価収益率が低いことです。投資家は、この堅調な収益成長が近い将来、実際にはより広い市場を下回る可能性があると考えているためです。それが実現しなければ、既存の株主は株価の将来の方向性についてかなり楽観的になる理由があります。
ホープフルエント・グループ・ホールディングスの最新の分析をご覧ください
アナリストの予測は出ていませんが、最近の傾向が会社を将来どのように形作っているかを確認するには、当社の記事をご覧ください 無料 Hopefluent Group Holdingsの収益、収益、キャッシュフローに関するレポートです。
ホープフルエント・グループ・ホールディングスの成長傾向はどうですか?
Hopefluent Group Holdingsのように株価収益率が落ち込んでいるのを見ても本当に安心できるのは、会社の成長が市場に明らかに遅れをとる軌道に乗っているときだけです。
この情報から、Hopefluent Group Holdingsが市場よりも低い株価収益率で取引されている理由がわかります。どうやら多くの株主は、引き続き証券取引所に後れを取ると信じているものを保有することに抵抗を感じていました。
ザ・ファイナル・ワード
Hopefluent Group Holdingsの株式は急落し、株価収益率は今や底を打つほど低くなっています。株価収益率は、特定の業界では価値の尺度としては劣っていると言われていますが、企業景況感の強力な指標にもなり得ます。
予想通り、Hopefluent Group Holdingsを調査したところ、現在の市場の予想よりも悪く見えるため、3年間の収益傾向が株価収益率の低さの一因となっていることが明らかになりました。現段階では、投資家は、収益の改善の可能性は株価収益率の上昇を正当化するほど大きくないと感じています。最近の中期的な状況が改善しない限り、これらの水準付近の株価に対する障壁となり続けるでしょう。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。