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The One-year Earnings Decline Is Not Helping Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's (SHSE:600618 Share Price, as Stock Falls Another 3.5% in Past Week

上海塩化アルカリ化学株式会社(SHSE:600618)の1年間の収益減少が株価に助けなくなっており、過去1週間でさらに3.5%下落しています。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/11 22:43

The simplest way to benefit from a rising market is to buy an index fund. While individual stocks can be big winners, plenty more fail to generate satisfactory returns. For example, the Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600618) share price is down 23% in the last year. That contrasts poorly with the market decline of 6.1%. On the bright side, the stock is actually up 8.1% in the last three years.

If the past week is anything to go by, investor sentiment for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical isn't positive, so let's see if there's a mismatch between fundamentals and the share price.

Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical

To paraphrase Benjamin Graham: Over the short term the market is a voting machine, but over the long term it's a weighing machine. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

Unfortunately Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical reported an EPS drop of 61% for the last year. This fall in the EPS is significantly worse than the 23% the share price fall. It may have been that the weak EPS was not as bad as some had feared.

You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).

earnings-per-share-growth
SHSE:600618 Earnings Per Share Growth August 12th 2023

Dive deeper into Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

When looking at investment returns, it is important to consider the difference between total shareholder return (TSR) and share price return. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. In the case of Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical, it has a TSR of -20% for the last 1 year. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.

A Different Perspective

We regret to report that Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical shareholders are down 20% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 6.1%. Having said that, it's inevitable that some stocks will be oversold in a falling market. The key is to keep your eyes on the fundamental developments. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 5% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Chlor-Alkali Chemical .

If you would prefer to check out another company -- one with potentially superior financials -- then do not miss this free list of companies that have proven they can grow earnings.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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