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Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited (SZSE:000488) Looks Inexpensive But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough

山東陳明紙業ホールディングス株式会社(SZSE:000488)は安いように見えますが、十分に魅力的ではないかもしれません

Simply Wall St ·  2023/08/21 21:31

You may think that with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.5x Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Limited (SZSE:000488) is a stock worth checking out, seeing as almost half of all the Forestry companies in China have P/S ratios greater than 1.8x and even P/S higher than 5x aren't out of the ordinary. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.

Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:000488 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 22nd 2023

How Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings Has Been Performing

Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings hasn't been tracking well recently as its declining revenue compares poorly to other companies, which have seen some growth in their revenues on average. Perhaps the P/S remains low as investors think the prospects of strong revenue growth aren't on the horizon. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

Keen to find out how analysts think Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' to be considered reasonable.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 5.4%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 2.2% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 9.5% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. With the industry predicted to deliver 13% growth, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' P/S?

It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

We've established that Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

Before you settle on your opinion, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings that you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shandong Chenming Paper Holdings' business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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