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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:200054) 25% Share Price Plunge

重慶建設車載系統株式有限公司(SZSE:200054)の株価が25%急落したことに投資家が驚くべきではない理由

Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/25 18:07

The Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System Co., Ltd. (SZSE:200054) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 25%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 31% share price drop.

After such a large drop in price, when close to half the companies operating in China's Auto industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") above 2.1x, you may consider Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System as an enticing stock to check out with its 0.9x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

Check out our latest analysis for Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:200054 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry September 25th 2023

How Has Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the disappointing revenue performance to continue or accelerate, which has repressed the P/S. Those who are bullish on Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 2.3%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 36% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 20% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.

With this in mind, we understand why Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.

The Bottom Line On Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System's P/S

The southerly movements of Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System confirms that the company's shrinking revenue over the past medium-term is a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, given the industry is projected to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Chongqing Jianshe Vehicle System (1 is significant!) that you need to take into consideration.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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