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Powerwin Tech Group (HKG:2405) Strong Profits May Be Masking Some Underlying Issues

パワーウィンテックグループ(HKG:2405)強い利益はいくつかの根本的な問題を隠している可能性がある

Simply Wall St ·  2023/09/26 18:13

The recent earnings posted by Powerwin Tech Group Limited (HKG:2405) were solid, but the stock didn't move as much as we expected. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Powerwin Tech Group

earnings-and-revenue-history
SEHK:2405 Earnings and Revenue History September 26th 2023

Zooming In On Powerwin Tech Group's Earnings

Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. This ratio tells us how much of a company's profit is not backed by free cashflow.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While having an accrual ratio above zero is of little concern, we do think it's worth noting when a company has a relatively high accrual ratio. Notably, there is some academic evidence that suggests that a high accrual ratio is a bad sign for near-term profits, generally speaking.

Powerwin Tech Group has an accrual ratio of 0.84 for the year to June 2023. As a general rule, that bodes poorly for future profitability. And indeed, during the period the company didn't produce any free cash flow whatsoever. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of US$21m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of US$6.03m. We also note that Powerwin Tech Group's free cash flow was actually negative last year as well, so we could understand if shareholders were bothered by its outflow of US$21m.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Powerwin Tech Group.

Our Take On Powerwin Tech Group's Profit Performance

As we discussed above, we think Powerwin Tech Group's earnings were not supported by free cash flow, which might concern some investors. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Powerwin Tech Group's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. Sadly, its EPS was down over the last twelve months. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. In light of this, if you'd like to do more analysis on the company, it's vital to be informed of the risks involved. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Powerwin Tech Group you should be mindful of and 2 of them make us uncomfortable.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Powerwin Tech Group's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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