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Are Sichuan Qiaoyuan Gas Co.,Ltd.'s (SZSE:301286) Fundamentals Good Enough to Warrant Buying Given The Stock's Recent Weakness?

最近値下がりした株価を考慮して、四川巧源ガス株式会社(SZSE:301286)の基本的な情報は株式購入のために十分ですか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/14 22:08

With its stock down 9.4% over the past three months, it is easy to disregard Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd (SZSE:301286). However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financials over the long term, which in this case look pretty respectable. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In simpler terms, it measures the profitability of a company in relation to shareholder's equity.

Check out our latest analysis for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd is:

10% = CN¥163m ÷ CN¥1.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the yearly profit. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.10 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Assuming all else is equal, companies that have both a higher return on equity and higher profit retention are usually the ones that have a higher growth rate when compared to companies that don't have the same features.

Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's Earnings Growth And 10% ROE

When you first look at it, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's ROE doesn't look that attractive. However, the fact that the its ROE is quite higher to the industry average of 7.4% doesn't go unnoticed by us. However, Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's five year net income decline rate was 17%. Bear in mind, the company does have a slightly low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Hence, this goes some way in explaining the shrinking earnings.

So, as a next step, we compared Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 14% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301286 Past Earnings Growth October 15th 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Despite having a normal three-year median payout ratio of 27% (where it is retaining 73% of its profits), Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd has seen a decline in earnings as we saw above. It looks like there might be some other reasons to explain the lack in that respect. For example, the business could be in decline.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd certainly does have some positive factors to consider. Although, we are disappointed to see a lack of growth in earnings even in spite of a moderate ROE and and a high reinvestment rate. We believe that there might be some outside factors that could be having a negative impact on the business. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. To know the 1 risk we have identified for Sichuan Qiaoyuan GasLtd visit our risks dashboard for free.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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