One thing we could say about the analysts on SMART Global Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ:SGH) - they aren't optimistic, having just made a major negative revision to their near-term (statutory) forecasts for the organization. Both revenue and earnings per share (EPS) estimates were cut sharply as the analysts factored in the latest outlook for the business, concluding that they were too optimistic previously.
Following the latest downgrade, the current consensus, from the five analysts covering SMART Global Holdings, is for revenues of US$1.2b in 2024, which would reflect an uneasy 17% reduction in SMART Global Holdings' sales over the past 12 months. Following this this downgrade, earnings are now expected to tip over into loss-making territory, with the analysts forecasting losses of US$0.45 per share in 2024. Previously, the analysts had been modelling revenues of US$1.7b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$1.03 in 2024. There looks to have been a major change in sentiment regarding SMART Global Holdings' prospects, with a pretty serious reduction to revenues and the analysts now forecasting a loss instead of a profit.
Check out our latest analysis for SMART Global Holdings
The consensus price target fell 21% to US$26.17, implicitly signalling that lower earnings per share are a leading indicator for SMART Global Holdings' valuation.
Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. We would highlight that sales are expected to reverse, with a forecast 17% annualised revenue decline to the end of 2024. That is a notable change from historical growth of 8.7% over the last five years. Compare this with our data, which suggests that other companies in the same industry are, in aggregate, expected to see their revenue grow 15% per year. So although its revenues are forecast to shrink, this cloud does not come with a silver lining - SMART Global Holdings is expected to lag the wider industry.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away is that analysts are expecting SMART Global Holdings to become unprofitable this year. Unfortunately analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, and industry data suggests that SMART Global Holdings' revenues are expected to grow slower than the wider market. With a serious cut to this year's expectations and a falling price target, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were becoming wary of SMART Global Holdings.
As you can see, the analysts clearly aren't bullish, and there might be good reason for that. We've identified some potential issues with SMART Global Holdings' financials, such as recent substantial insider selling. Learn more, and discover the 5 other concerns we've identified, for free on our platform here.
Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
最新の格下げに続いて、SMART Global Holdingsをカバーする5人のアナリストのコンセンサスは、2024年の収益がUS $ 1.2bであることで、過去12か月間にSMART Global Holdingsの売上高が不安定な17%減少することを反映しています。この格下げに続いて、アナリストたちは、2024年の1株当たりの損失がUS $ 0.45となり、収益が赤字に転落すると予測しています。以前は、アナリストたちは、2024年の収益がUS $ 1.7bで1株当たりの収益(EPS)がUS $ 1.03になるようモデリングしていました。SMART Global Holdingsの見通しに関して、売上高のかなり大きな減少とアナリストたちが利益ではなく損失を予測することに、センチメントが大きく変化したようです。
SMART Global Holdingsの最新分析をチェックしてください
コンセンサス株価目標は21%低下し、その結果、SMART Global Holdingsの評価における低いEPSが主要なインジケーターであることを暗示しています。
重要なのは、アナリストたちがSMART Global Holdingsが今年赤字になることを予想しているということです。不幸にも、アナリストたちは収益の見通しを引き下げ、業界データからも、SMART Global Holdingsの収益は市場全体よりも遅いペースで成長することが予想されています。今年の期待が大幅に下方修正され、価格目標が下がっているため、投資家たちがSMART Global Holdingsに注意を払い始めたとしても驚くことではありません。
アナリストは明らかにブルを感じていないことがわかります。これには理由があるかもしれません。私たちはSMART Global Holdingsの財務諸表にいくつかの潜在的な問題を特定しています。たとえば、最近の大量のインサイダー売却などです。私たちが特定した他の5つの懸念については、無料でプラットフォームで詳しく調べることができます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。