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Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:300301) Price Is Right But Growth Is Lacking After Shares Rocket 35%

深圳長芳集團股份有限公司(SZSE:300301)の株価は適正ですが、株式が35%急騰後、成長力に欠けます

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/18 18:15

The Shenzhen Changfang Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300301) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 35%. Taking a wider view, although not as strong as the last month, the full year gain of 15% is also fairly reasonable.

Even after such a large jump in price, Shenzhen Changfang Group may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.8x, since almost half of all companies in the Semiconductor industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 8x and even P/S higher than 15x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Shenzhen Changfang Group

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300301 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry October 18th 2023

How Shenzhen Changfang Group Has Been Performing

For instance, Shenzhen Changfang Group's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. Those who are bullish on Shenzhen Changfang Group will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Shenzhen Changfang Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

How Is Shenzhen Changfang Group's Revenue Growth Trending?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as Shenzhen Changfang Group's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 57% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 54% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 39% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's understandable that Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/S has reached a floor yet with revenue going in reverse. There's potential for the P/S to fall to even lower levels if the company doesn't improve its top-line growth.

What Does Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S Mean For Investors?

Even after such a strong price move, Shenzhen Changfang Group's P/S still trails the rest of the industry. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.

As we suspected, our examination of Shenzhen Changfang Group revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Shenzhen Changfang Group (at least 2 which make us uncomfortable), and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If you're unsure about the strength of Shenzhen Changfang Group's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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