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Declining Stock and Decent Financials: Is The Market Wrong About Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Co., Ltd. (SZSE:301217)?

株価下落と資金運用は良好:安徽通鑑銅箔集団股份有限公司(SZSE:301217)に市場が誤解しているのか?」

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 01:04

It is hard to get excited after looking at Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's (SZSE:301217) recent performance, when its stock has declined 14% over the past three months. But if you pay close attention, you might find that its key financial indicators look quite decent, which could mean that the stock could potentially rise in the long-term given how markets usually reward more resilient long-term fundamentals. Specifically, we decided to study Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

View our latest analysis for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group is:

1.8% = CN¥101m ÷ CN¥5.6b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.02 in profit.

What Has ROE Got To Do With Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's Earnings Growth And 1.8% ROE

It is hard to argue that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's ROE is much good in and of itself. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.1%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group was still able to see a decent net income growth of 10% over the past five years. Therefore, the growth in earnings could probably have been caused by other variables. Such as - high earnings retention or an efficient management in place.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group's reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 16% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:301217 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. It's important for an investor to know whether the market has priced in the company's expected earnings growth (or decline). Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 30%, which implies that it retains the remaining 70% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders.

Conclusion

Overall, we feel that Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group certainly does have some positive factors to consider. That is, a decent growth in earnings backed by a high rate of reinvestment. However, we do feel that that earnings growth could have been higher if the business were to improve on the low ROE rate. Especially given how the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits. While we won't completely dismiss the company, what we would do, is try to ascertain how risky the business is to make a more informed decision around the company. Our risks dashboard would have the 3 risks we have identified for Anhui Tongguan Copper Foil Group.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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