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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Qingdao Hanhe Cable Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002498)?

株価下落と基本的な業績: 青島ハンヘケーブル株式会社(SZSE:002498)について市場は間違っているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/23 02:00

Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd (SZSE:002498) has had a rough three months with its share price down 9.3%. But if you pay close attention, you might gather that its strong financials could mean that the stock could potentially see an increase in value in the long-term, given how markets usually reward companies with good financial health. In this article, we decided to focus on Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is a key measure used to assess how efficiently a company's management is utilizing the company's capital. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd is:

9.4% = CN¥702m ÷ CN¥7.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' refers to a company's earnings over the last year. That means that for every CN¥1 worth of shareholders' equity, the company generated CN¥0.09 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

So far, we've learned that ROE is a measure of a company's profitability. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's Earnings Growth And 9.4% ROE

On the face of it, Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's ROE is not much to talk about. Although a closer study shows that the company's ROE is higher than the industry average of 7.6% which we definitely can't overlook. Especially when you consider Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's exceptional 25% net income growth over the past five years. Bear in mind, the company does have a moderately low ROE. It is just that the industry ROE is lower. Therefore, the growth in earnings could also be the result of other factors. E.g the company has a low payout ratio or could belong to a high growth industry.

As a next step, we compared Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's net income growth with the industry, and pleasingly, we found that the growth seen by the company is higher than the average industry growth of 14%.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:002498 Past Earnings Growth October 23rd 2023

Earnings growth is an important metric to consider when valuing a stock. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. One good indicator of expected earnings growth is the P/E ratio which determines the price the market is willing to pay for a stock based on its earnings prospects. So, you may want to check if Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd is trading on a high P/E or a low P/E, relative to its industry.

Is Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's ' three-year median payout ratio is on the lower side at 16% implying that it is retaining a higher percentage (84%) of its profits. So it seems like the management is reinvesting profits heavily to grow its business and this reflects in its earnings growth number.

Besides, Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd has been paying dividends for at least ten years or more. This shows that the company is committed to sharing profits with its shareholders. Based on the latest analysts' estimates, we found that the company's future payout ratio over the next three years is expected to hold steady at 16%. Still, forecasts suggest that Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's future ROE will rise to 12% even though the the company's payout ratio is not expected to change by much.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Qingdao Hanhe CableLtd's performance. In particular, it's great to see that the company has seen significant growth in its earnings backed by a respectable ROE and a high reinvestment rate. Having said that, the company's earnings growth is expected to slow down, as forecasted in the current analyst estimates. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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