Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology Company Limited (HKG:8045) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 26% gain and recovering from prior weakness. Unfortunately, the gains of the last month did little to right the losses of the last year with the stock still down 42% over that time.
Although its price has surged higher, it would still be understandable if you think Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology is a stock with good investment prospects with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 0.2x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's IT industry have P/S ratios above 1.5x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
View our latest analysis for Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology
How Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology Has Been Performing
As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology over the last year, which is not ideal at all. One possibility is that the P/S is low because investors think the company won't do enough to avoid underperforming the broader industry in the near future. Those who are bullish on Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology will be hoping that this isn't the case so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Any Revenue Growth Forecasted For Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 55%. As a result, revenue from three years ago have also fallen 60% overall. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 12% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we understand why Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology's P/S is lower than most of its industry peers. However, we think shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term, which could set up shareholders for future disappointment. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as recent revenue trends are already weighing down the shares.
The Key Takeaway
Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology's stock price has surged recently, but its but its P/S still remains modest. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
As we suspected, our examination of Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term is contributing to its low P/S, given the industry is set to grow. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises either. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price moving strongly in either direction in the near future under these circumstances.
You always need to take note of risks, for example - Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology has 1 warning sign we think you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Jiangsu NandaSoft Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.