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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Werner Enterprises, Inc. (NASDAQ:WERN)?

株価下落と安定したファンダメンタルズ:ワーナー・エンタープライズ社(NASDAQ:WERN)について市場は誤解しているのか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/10/28 08:16

It is hard to get excited after looking at Werner Enterprises' (NASDAQ:WERN) recent performance, when its stock has declined 23% over the past three months. However, a closer look at its sound financials might cause you to think again. Given that fundamentals usually drive long-term market outcomes, the company is worth looking at. Particularly, we will be paying attention to Werner Enterprises' ROE today.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Werner Enterprises

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Werner Enterprises is:

12% = US$182m ÷ US$1.5b (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every $1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of $0.12.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Depending on how much of these profits the company reinvests or "retains", and how effectively it does so, we are then able to assess a company's earnings growth potential. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Werner Enterprises' Earnings Growth And 12% ROE

To start with, Werner Enterprises' ROE looks acceptable. Further, the company's ROE is similar to the industry average of 14%. This probably goes some way in explaining Werner Enterprises' moderate 5.5% growth over the past five years amongst other factors.

Next, on comparing with the industry net income growth, we found that Werner Enterprises' reported growth was lower than the industry growth of 14% over the last few years, which is not something we like to see.

past-earnings-growth
NasdaqGS:WERN Past Earnings Growth October 28th 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. The investor should try to establish if the expected growth or decline in earnings, whichever the case may be, is priced in. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. Is Werner Enterprises fairly valued compared to other companies? These 3 valuation measures might help you decide.

Is Werner Enterprises Efficiently Re-investing Its Profits?

In Werner Enterprises' case, its respectable earnings growth can probably be explained by its low three-year median payout ratio of 13% (or a retention ratio of 87%), which suggests that the company is investing most of its profits to grow its business.

Moreover, Werner Enterprises is determined to keep sharing its profits with shareholders which we infer from its long history of paying a dividend for at least ten years. Looking at the current analyst consensus data, we can see that the company's future payout ratio is expected to rise to 18% over the next three years. Regardless, the ROE is not expected to change much for the company despite the higher expected payout ratio.

Summary

In total, we are pretty happy with Werner Enterprises' performance. Particularly, we like that the company is reinvesting heavily into its business, and at a high rate of return. As a result, the decent growth in its earnings is not surprising. Having said that, looking at the current analyst estimates, we found that the company's earnings are expected to gain momentum. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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