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Viad Corp Beat Analyst Estimates: See What The Consensus Is Forecasting For Next Year

ビアド社、アナリストの予想を上回る決算発表 来年の予想はどうなっている?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/05 07:11

As you might know, Viad Corp (NYSE:VVI) just kicked off its latest third-quarter results with some very strong numbers. Results were good overall, with revenues beating analyst predictions by 3.3% to hit US$366m. Statutory earnings per share (EPS) came in at US$1.41, some 5.6% above whatthe analysts had expected. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what the analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. So we gathered the latest post-earnings forecasts to see what estimates suggest is in store for next year.

View our latest analysis for Viad

earnings-and-revenue-growth
NYSE:VVI Earnings and Revenue Growth November 5th 2023

Taking into account the latest results, the most recent consensus for Viad from three analysts is for revenues of US$1.29b in 2024. If met, it would imply a satisfactory 7.8% increase on its revenue over the past 12 months. Statutory earnings per share are forecast to crater 24% to US$0.52 in the same period. Before this earnings report, the analysts had been forecasting revenues of US$1.27b and earnings per share (EPS) of US$0.61 in 2024. So there's definitely been a decline in sentiment after the latest results, noting the substantial drop in new EPS forecasts.

The consensus price target held steady at US$38.00, with the analysts seemingly voting that their lower forecast earnings are not expected to lead to a lower stock price in the foreseeable future. It could also be instructive to look at the range of analyst estimates, to evaluate how different the outlier opinions are from the mean. The most optimistic Viad analyst has a price target of US$40.00 per share, while the most pessimistic values it at US$36.00. Even so, with a relatively close grouping of estimates, it looks like the analysts are quite confident in their valuations, suggesting Viad is an easy business to forecast or the the analysts are all using similar assumptions.

Another way we can view these estimates is in the context of the bigger picture, such as how the forecasts stack up against past performance, and whether forecasts are more or less bullish relative to other companies in the industry. For example, we noticed that Viad's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 6.2% growth to the end of 2024 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 6.3% a year over the past five years. By contrast, our data suggests that other companies (with analyst coverage) in a similar industry are forecast to see their revenue grow 7.1% per year. So while Viad's revenues are expected to improve, it seems that it is expected to grow at about the same rate as the overall industry.

The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that the analysts downgraded their earnings per share estimates, showing that there has been a clear decline in sentiment following these results. They also reconfirmed their revenue estimates, with the company predicted to grow at about the same rate as the wider industry. There was no real change to the consensus price target, suggesting that the intrinsic value of the business has not undergone any major changes with the latest estimates.

With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Viad going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here..

Plus, you should also learn about the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Viad (including 1 which is concerning) .

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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