Federal International (2000) Ltd (SGX:BDU) shareholders won't be pleased to see that the share price has had a very rough month, dropping 29% and undoing the prior period's positive performance. Longer-term shareholders would now have taken a real hit with the stock declining 9.2% in the last year.

Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Federal International (2000)'s price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.2x is worth a mention when the median P/S in Singapore's Trade Distributors industry is similar at about 0.4x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/S.

See our latest analysis for Federal International (2000)

What Does Federal International (2000)'s P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Federal International (2000)'s receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Federal International (2000) would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 40%. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Accordingly, shareholders probably wouldn't have been overly satisfied with the unstable medium-term growth rates.

Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 4.9% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.

In light of this, it's curious that Federal International (2000)'s P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

The Key Takeaway

With its share price dropping off a cliff, the P/S for Federal International (2000) looks to be in line with the rest of the Trade Distributors industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Federal International (2000) revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Federal International (2000) (1 doesn't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If you're unsure about the strength of Federal International (2000)'s business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

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