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Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd (SZSE:002777) Jumps 4.5% This Week, Though Earnings Growth Is Still Tracking Behind Five-year Shareholder Returns

四川九遠銀海ソフトウェア株式会社(SZSE:002777)は今週4.5%増加しましたが、収益成長は5年間の株主還元に遅れています。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/08 19:40

While Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.,Ltd (SZSE:002777) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 18% in the last quarter. But that doesn't change the fact that the returns over the last five years have been very strong. We think most investors would be happy with the 144% return, over that period. We think it's more important to dwell on the long term returns than the short term returns. Of course, that doesn't necessarily mean it's cheap now.

Since the stock has added CN¥441m to its market cap in the past week alone, let's see if underlying performance has been driving long-term returns.

View our latest analysis for Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One way to examine how market sentiment has changed over time is to look at the interaction between a company's share price and its earnings per share (EPS).

During five years of share price growth, Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd achieved compound earnings per share (EPS) growth of 16% per year. This EPS growth is reasonably close to the 20% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore one could conclude that sentiment towards the shares hasn't morphed very much. Indeed, it would appear the share price is reacting to the EPS.

You can see how EPS has changed over time in the image below (click on the chart to see the exact values).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:002777 Earnings Per Share Growth November 9th 2023

Dive deeper into Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR incorporates the value of any spin-offs or discounted capital raisings, along with any dividends, based on the assumption that the dividends are reinvested. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. As it happens, Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd's TSR for the last 5 years was 154%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!

A Different Perspective

It's nice to see that Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd shareholders have received a total shareholder return of 53% over the last year. That's including the dividend. That's better than the annualised return of 20% over half a decade, implying that the company is doing better recently. In the best case scenario, this may hint at some real business momentum, implying that now could be a great time to delve deeper. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. For example, we've discovered 1 warning sign for Sichuan Jiuyuan Yinhai Software.Co.Ltd that you should be aware of before investing here.

If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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