To the annoyance of some shareholders, Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. (NASDAQ:TMCI) shares are down a considerable 39% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 74% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Treace Medical Concepts' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.2x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Medical Equipment industry in the United States, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3x and even P/S above 6x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's limited.
Check out our latest analysis for Treace Medical Concepts
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What Does Treace Medical Concepts' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
Recent times have been advantageous for Treace Medical Concepts as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. It might be that many expect the strong revenue performance to degrade substantially, which has repressed the share price, and thus the P/S ratio. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Treace Medical Concepts will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Treace Medical Concepts' to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 39% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 204% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 21% each year as estimated by the seven analysts watching the company. With the industry only predicted to deliver 11% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger revenue result.
With this in consideration, we find it intriguing that Treace Medical Concepts' P/S sits behind most of its industry peers. Apparently some shareholders are doubtful of the forecasts and have been accepting significantly lower selling prices.
The Key Takeaway
Treace Medical Concepts' P/S has taken a dip along with its share price. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
Treace Medical Concepts' analyst forecasts revealed that its superior revenue outlook isn't contributing to its P/S anywhere near as much as we would have predicted. When we see strong growth forecasts like this, we can only assume potential risks are what might be placing significant pressure on the P/S ratio. It appears the market could be anticipating revenue instability, because these conditions should normally provide a boost to the share price.
And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 3 warning signs for Treace Medical Concepts you should know about.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.