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What Hunan Copote Science Technology Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:600476) 31% Share Price Gain Is Not Telling You

湖南警探科技股份有限公司(SHSE:600476)の31%の株価上昇があなたに伝えないこと

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/15 17:03

Hunan Copote Science Technology Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:600476) shareholders would be excited to see that the share price has had a great month, posting a 31% gain and recovering from prior weakness. The last 30 days bring the annual gain to a very sharp 27%.

Since its price has surged higher, Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd may be sending sell signals at present with a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 6.1x, when you consider almost half of the companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios under 4.9x and even P/S lower than 2x aren't out of the ordinary. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.

See our latest analysis for Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600476 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 15th 2023

What Does Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 20%. Even so, admirably revenue has lifted 136% in aggregate from three years ago, notwithstanding the last 12 months. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 50% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

What We Can Learn From Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd's P/S?

Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd's P/S is on the rise since its shares have risen strongly. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we see slower than industry revenue growth but an elevated P/S, there's considerable risk of the share price declining, sending the P/S lower. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Hunan Copote Science TechnologyLtd (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you should be aware of before investing here.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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