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Shandong Huapeng Glass Co.,Ltd.'s (SHSE:603021) Shares Climb 37% But Its Business Is Yet to Catch Up

山東華彭ガラス株式会社(SHSE:603021)の株式は37%上昇しましたが、ビジネスはまだ追いついていません。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/21 17:12

Shandong Huapeng Glass Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:603021) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 37% share price jump in the last month. Notwithstanding the latest gain, the annual share price return of 2.3% isn't as impressive.

Since its price has surged higher, you could be forgiven for thinking Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd is a stock not worth researching with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 3.6x, considering almost half the companies in China's Packaging industry have P/S ratios below 2.4x. However, the P/S might be high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603021 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry November 21st 2023

What Does Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For example, consider that Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.

Taking a look back first, the company's revenue growth last year wasn't something to get excited about as it posted a disappointing decline of 14%. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 34% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 26% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.

The Bottom Line On Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd's P/S

Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd shares have taken a big step in a northerly direction, but its P/S is elevated as a result. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

Our examination of Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. When we see revenue heading backwards and underperforming the industry forecasts, we feel the possibility of the share price declining is very real, bringing the P/S back into the realm of reasonability. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Shandong Huapeng GlassLtd you should be aware of.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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