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Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603985) Stock Is Soaring But Financials Seem Inconsistent: Will The Uptrend Continue?

江陰恒潤重工業株式会社(SHSE:603985)の株価が急上昇していますが、財務諸表は不一致に見えます。この上昇傾向は続くのでしょうか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/11/25 19:20

Most readers would already be aware that Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' (SHSE:603985) stock increased significantly by 50% over the past three months. However, we decided to pay attention to the company's fundamentals which don't appear to give a clear sign about the company's financial health. Specifically, we decided to study Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries

How Do You Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries is:

2.8% = CN¥96m ÷ CN¥3.4b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. So, this means that for every CN¥1 of its shareholder's investments, the company generates a profit of CN¥0.03.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Generally speaking, other things being equal, firms with a high return on equity and profit retention, have a higher growth rate than firms that don't share these attributes.

Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' Earnings Growth And 2.8% ROE

As you can see, Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' ROE looks pretty weak. Even compared to the average industry ROE of 7.5%, the company's ROE is quite dismal. Therefore, the disappointing ROE therefore provides a background to Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' very little net income growth of 5.0% over the past five years.

We then compared Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' net income growth with the industry and found that the company's growth figure is lower than the average industry growth rate of 12% in the same 5-year period, which is a bit concerning.

past-earnings-growth
SHSE:603985 Past Earnings Growth November 26th 2023

The basis for attaching value to a company is, to a great extent, tied to its earnings growth. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. Doing so will help them establish if the stock's future looks promising or ominous. If you're wondering about Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries''s valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries has a low three-year median payout ratio of 18% (meaning, the company keeps the remaining 82% of profits) which means that the company is retaining more of its earnings. However, the low earnings growth number doesn't reflect this as high growth usually follows high profit retention. So there might be other factors at play here which could potentially be hampering growth. For example, the business has faced some headwinds.

Additionally, Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries has paid dividends over a period of five years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Conclusion

In total, we're a bit ambivalent about Jiangyin Hengrun Heavy Industries' performance. While the company does have a high rate of reinvestment, the low ROE means that all that reinvestment is not reaping any benefit to its investors, and moreover, its having a negative impact on the earnings growth. That being so, the latest analyst forecasts show that the company will continue to see an expansion in its earnings. Are these analysts expectations based on the broad expectations for the industry, or on the company's fundamentals? Click here to be taken to our analyst's forecasts page for the company.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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