Shanghai Welltech Automation Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:002058) shareholders have had their patience rewarded with a 27% share price jump in the last month. Looking further back, the 19% rise over the last twelve months isn't too bad notwithstanding the strength over the last 30 days.
Since its price has surged higher, Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 13.8x might make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Electronic industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 4.5x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd
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How Has Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd Performed Recently?
For instance, Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. It might be that many expect the company to still outplay most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Is There Enough Revenue Growth Forecasted For Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's to be considered reasonable.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 21%. However, a few very strong years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by an impressive 91% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has generally done a very good job of growing revenue over that time, even though it had some hiccups along the way.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 62% growth in the next 12 months, the company's momentum is weaker, based on recent medium-term annualised revenue results.
In light of this, it's alarming that Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. Only the boldest would assume these prices are sustainable as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh heavily on the share price eventually.
The Bottom Line On Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's P/S
Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd's P/S has grown nicely over the last month thanks to a handy boost in the share price. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
The fact that Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 1 warning sign for Shanghai Welltech AutomationLtd that you should be aware of.
It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.