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Declining Stock and Solid Fundamentals: Is The Market Wrong About Huali Industrial Group Company Limited (SZSE:300979)?

株価の下落と堅実な企業基盤:華麗な工業グループ有限公司(SZSE:300979)では市場が誤っているか?

Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/09 16:43

It is hard to get excited after looking at Huali Industrial Group's (SZSE:300979) recent performance, when its stock has declined 9.0% over the past three months. However, stock prices are usually driven by a company's financial performance over the long term, which in this case looks quite promising. Specifically, we decided to study Huali Industrial Group's ROE in this article.

Return on Equity or ROE is a test of how effectively a company is growing its value and managing investors' money. Put another way, it reveals the company's success at turning shareholder investments into profits.

See our latest analysis for Huali Industrial Group

How Is ROE Calculated?

ROE can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Huali Industrial Group is:

21% = CN¥3.1b ÷ CN¥14b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the amount earned after tax over the last twelve months. One way to conceptualize this is that for each CN¥1 of shareholders' capital it has, the company made CN¥0.21 in profit.

Why Is ROE Important For Earnings Growth?

We have already established that ROE serves as an efficient profit-generating gauge for a company's future earnings. Based on how much of its profits the company chooses to reinvest or "retain", we are then able to evaluate a company's future ability to generate profits. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Huali Industrial Group's Earnings Growth And 21% ROE

To start with, Huali Industrial Group's ROE looks acceptable. Especially when compared to the industry average of 6.2% the company's ROE looks pretty impressive. Probably as a result of this, Huali Industrial Group was able to see a decent growth of 17% over the last five years.

We then compared Huali Industrial Group's net income growth with the industry and we're pleased to see that the company's growth figure is higher when compared with the industry which has a growth rate of 2.8% in the same 5-year period.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:300979 Past Earnings Growth December 10th 2023

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. Has the market priced in the future outlook for 300979? You can find out in our latest intrinsic value infographic research report.

Is Huali Industrial Group Making Efficient Use Of Its Profits?

Huali Industrial Group has a three-year median payout ratio of 45%, which implies that it retains the remaining 55% of its profits. This suggests that its dividend is well covered, and given the decent growth seen by the company, it looks like management is reinvesting its earnings efficiently.

Along with seeing a growth in earnings, Huali Industrial Group only recently started paying dividends. Its quite possible that the company was looking to impress its shareholders. Our latest analyst data shows that the future payout ratio of the company over the next three years is expected to be approximately 42%. Therefore, the company's future ROE is also not expected to change by much with analysts predicting an ROE of 23%.

Summary

Overall, we are quite pleased with Huali Industrial Group's performance. Specifically, we like that the company is reinvesting a huge chunk of its profits at a high rate of return. This of course has caused the company to see substantial growth in its earnings. We also studied the latest analyst forecasts and found that the company's earnings growth is expected be similar to its current growth rate. To know more about the company's future earnings growth forecasts take a look at this free report on analyst forecasts for the company to find out more.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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