Liuzhou Liangmianzhen Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600249) shares have continued their recent momentum with a 26% gain in the last month alone. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 25% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, it's still not a stretch to say that Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 4.5x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the Personal Products industry in China, where the median P/S ratio is around 4x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Liuzhou Liangmianzhen
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What Does Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's Recent Performance Look Like?
Revenue has risen firmly for Liuzhou Liangmianzhen recently, which is pleasing to see. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this respectable revenue growth might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If that doesn't eventuate, then existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's earnings, revenue and cash flow.Is There Some Revenue Growth Forecasted For Liuzhou Liangmianzhen?
Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 24% gain to the company's top line. As a result, it also grew revenue by 9.4% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 24% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
With this in mind, we find it intriguing that Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's P/S is comparable to that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. They may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
Liuzhou Liangmianzhen's stock has a lot of momentum behind it lately, which has brought its P/S level with the rest of the industry. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
Our examination of Liuzhou Liangmianzhen revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
It is also worth noting that we have found 1 warning sign for Liuzhou Liangmianzhen that you need to take into consideration.
If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.