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Why Investors Shouldn't Be Surprised By Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002584) 26% Share Price Plunge

投資家がシーロンサイエンティフィック社(SZSE:002584)の株価が26%下落することに驚かない理由

Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/18 13:25

Xilong Scientific Co., Ltd. (SZSE:002584) shares have retraced a considerable 26% in the last month, reversing a fair amount of their solid recent performance. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 14%.

Although its price has dipped substantially, Xilong Scientific's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.7x might still make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.3x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

Check out our latest analysis for Xilong Scientific

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:002584 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 18th 2023

What Does Xilong Scientific's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's exceedingly strong of late, Xilong Scientific has been doing very well. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dwindle, which has kept the P/S suppressed. Those who are bullish on Xilong Scientific will be hoping that this isn't the case, so that they can pick up the stock at a lower valuation.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Xilong Scientific, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Xilong Scientific would need to produce sluggish growth that's trailing the industry.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a terrific increase of 61%. The strong recent performance means it was also able to grow revenue by 40% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 31% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.

In light of this, it's understandable that Xilong Scientific's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

The Final Word

Xilong Scientific's recently weak share price has pulled its P/S back below other Chemicals companies. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of Xilong Scientific confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it's hard to see the share price experience a reversal of fortunes anytime soon.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with Xilong Scientific (at least 1 which is concerning), and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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