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Risks To Shareholder Returns Are Elevated At These Prices For Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600189)

株主へのリスクは、吉林全羊泉有限責任公司(SHSE:600189)のこれらの価格では高まっています。

Simply Wall St ·  2023/12/26 18:00

Jilin Quanyangquan Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600189) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 5.6x may look like a poor investment opportunity when you consider close to half the companies in the Forestry industry in China have P/S ratios below 1.6x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for Jilin Quanyangquan

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600189 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

What Does Jilin Quanyangquan's Recent Performance Look Like?

Revenue has risen at a steady rate over the last year for Jilin Quanyangquan, which is generally not a bad outcome. It might be that many expect the reasonable revenue performance to beat most other companies over the coming period, which has increased investors' willingness to pay up for the stock. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jilin Quanyangquan's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as steep as Jilin Quanyangquan's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the industry decidedly.

If we review the last year of revenue growth, the company posted a worthy increase of 3.8%. However, this wasn't enough as the latest three year period has seen an unpleasant 1.9% overall drop in revenue. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

In contrast to the company, the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 14% over the next year, which really puts the company's recent medium-term revenue decline into perspective.

In light of this, it's alarming that Jilin Quanyangquan's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Jilin Quanyangquan's P/S?

Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

Our examination of Jilin Quanyangquan revealed its shrinking revenue over the medium-term isn't resulting in a P/S as low as we expected, given the industry is set to grow. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.

Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 4 warning signs for Jilin Quanyangquan (2 don't sit too well with us) you should be aware of.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Jilin Quanyangquan, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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