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Unpleasant Surprises Could Be In Store For HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603306) Shares

HMT(厦门)新技術材料股份有限公司(SHSE:603306)の株式には予想外の落胆があるかもしれません。

Simply Wall St ·  01/05 19:29

It's not a stretch to say that HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials Co., Ltd's (SHSE:603306) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 35.6x right now seems quite "middle-of-the-road" compared to the market in China, where the median P/E ratio is around 35x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.

HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials certainly has been doing a good job lately as its earnings growth has been positive while most other companies have been seeing their earnings go backwards. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

View our latest analysis for HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials

pe-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:603306 Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry January 6th 2024
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials.

What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/E?

The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials' is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 32% gain to the company's bottom line. However, the latest three year period hasn't been as great in aggregate as it didn't manage to provide any growth at all. Therefore, it's fair to say that earnings growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the sole analyst covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 29% over the next year. With the market predicted to deliver 43% growth , the company is positioned for a weaker earnings result.

With this information, we find it interesting that HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as this level of earnings growth is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Our examination of HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. Right now we are uncomfortable with the P/E as the predicted future earnings aren't likely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless these conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.

There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials that you should be aware of.

Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than HMT (Xiamen) New Technical Materials. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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