The worst result, after buying shares in a company (assuming no leverage), would be if you lose all the money you put in. But on a lighter note, a good company can see its share price rise well over 100%. One great example is Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd (SZSE:000708) which saw its share price drive 158% higher over five years. In the last week shares have slid back 1.3%.
Now it's worth having a look at the company's fundamentals too, because that will help us determine if the long term shareholder return has matched the performance of the underlying business.
View our latest analysis for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group
While the efficient markets hypothesis continues to be taught by some, it has been proven that markets are over-reactive dynamic systems, and investors are not always rational. One imperfect but simple way to consider how the market perception of a company has shifted is to compare the change in the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price movement.
Over half a decade, Citic Pacific Special Steel Group managed to grow its earnings per share at 11% a year. This EPS growth is slower than the share price growth of 21% per year, over the same period. So it's fair to assume the market has a higher opinion of the business than it did five years ago. And that's hardly shocking given the track record of growth.
You can see below how EPS has changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
Dive deeper into Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of Citic Pacific Special Steel Group's earnings, revenue and cash flow.
What About Dividends?
It is important to consider the total shareholder return, as well as the share price return, for any given stock. The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. It's fair to say that the TSR gives a more complete picture for stocks that pay a dividend. We note that for Citic Pacific Special Steel Group the TSR over the last 5 years was 216%, which is better than the share price return mentioned above. This is largely a result of its dividend payments!
A Different Perspective
We regret to report that Citic Pacific Special Steel Group shareholders are down 18% for the year (even including dividends). Unfortunately, that's worse than the broader market decline of 13%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. On the bright side, long term shareholders have made money, with a gain of 26% per year over half a decade. If the fundamental data continues to indicate long term sustainable growth, the current sell-off could be an opportunity worth considering. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Citic Pacific Special Steel Group better, we need to consider many other factors. To that end, you should be aware of the 2 warning signs we've spotted with Citic Pacific Special Steel Group .
If you like to buy stocks alongside management, then you might just love this free list of companies. (Hint: insiders have been buying them).
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.
Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content?Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com. This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
会社の株を買っても(負債がないと仮定して)失う可能性があるのは投資したお金全てである。しかし、良い会社は株価が100%以上上昇することもある。素晴らしい例の一つには、Citic Pacific Special Steel Group Co., Ltd(SZSE:000708)があり、5年間で株価が158%上昇した。先週株価は1.3%下落した。
Citic Pacific Special Steel Groupの5年間の過去において、EPSは年11%成長しました。このEPSの成長は同期間に株価が年21%成長したことよりも遅いです。つまり、市場は5年前よりもビジネスに対して高い評価をしていると思われます。その成長の実績を考えるとそれは当然のことです。
以下のグラフでEPSの変化を確認できます(画像をクリックして詳細を確認できます)。
Citic Pacific Special Steel Groupの収益、売上高、キャッシュフローのインタラクティブグラフを確認することで、詳細なキーマトリックスを客観的に確認できます。
配当金についてはどうでしょうか?
株式のリターンだけでなく、株価のリターンに加え、総株主還元率を検討することは重要です。TSRはキャッシュ・ディバイデンド(再投資されたディバイデンドを前提とします)の価値と割引キャピタル・レイジング、分割などの証券発行による計算値を考慮したリターン計算です。配当を支払う株式においてTSRはより完全な情報を提供すると言えます。Citic Pacific Special Steel Groupの5年間のTSRは216%であり、先に購入した株価リターンよりも高いことがわかります。ただし、これは主に配当金の支払いによるものです。
異なる視点から考えると
残念ながら、Citic Pacific Special Steel Groupの株主は今年18%下落しています(配当金を含む)。残念ながら、これは13%下落した大市場に比べて悪い結果です。しかし、株価が大幅に下落した理由には、もっと広い市場の不安要因もあるかもしれません。またファンダメンタルズにも目を向ける必要があります。ビジネスが長期的に持続的に成長することを示す基本データが続く場合、現在の売りエントリーは検討する価値があるかもしれません。株価の長期パフォーマンスを追跡するのは常に興味深いことですが、Citic Pacific Special Steel Groupをより理解するためには、他の多くの要因を考慮する必要があります。これについては、当社がCitic Pacific Special Steel Groupで見つけた 2つの警告サイン に注意する必要があります。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。
オーストラリアでは、moomooの投資商品及びサービスはMoomoo Securities Australia Limitedによって提供され、オーストラリア証券投資委員会(ASIC)の管理を受けております(AFSL No. 224663)。「金融サービスガイド」、「利用規約」、「プライバシーポリシー」などの詳細は、Moomoo Securities Australia Limitedのウェブサイトhttps://www.moomoo.com/auでご確認いただけます。