The Suncorp Technologies Limited (HKG:1063) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. Instead of being rewarded, shareholders who have already held through the last twelve months are now sitting on a 40% share price drop.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Suncorp Technologies is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 2.4x, considering almost half the companies in Hong Kong's Communications industry have P/S ratios below 0.3x. However, the P/S might be quite high for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.
See our latest analysis for Suncorp Technologies
What Does Suncorp Technologies' P/S Mean For Shareholders?
For instance, Suncorp Technologies' receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. If not, then existing shareholders may be quite nervous about the viability of the share price.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Suncorp Technologies, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Suncorp Technologies' Revenue Growth Trending?
Suncorp Technologies' P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 37%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 48% in aggregate. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing revenue over that time.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 16% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this information, we find it concerning that Suncorp Technologies is trading at a P/S higher than the industry. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
What We Can Learn From Suncorp Technologies' P/S?
A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Suncorp Technologies' very lofty P/S. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Suncorp Technologies currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance is highly unlikely to support such positive sentiment for long. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, it will place shareholders' investments at significant risk and potential investors in danger of paying an excessive premium.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Suncorp Technologies (1 is a bit concerning!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.