With a median price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of close to 9x in Hong Kong, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Yihai International Holding Ltd.'s (HKG:1579) P/E ratio of 10.7x. However, investors might be overlooking a clear opportunity or potential setback if there is no rational basis for the P/E.
With its earnings growth in positive territory compared to the declining earnings of most other companies, Yihai International Holding has been doing quite well of late. It might be that many expect the strong earnings performance to deteriorate like the rest, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then existing shareholders have reason to be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Check out our latest analysis for Yihai International Holding
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Yihai International Holding will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Is There Some Growth For Yihai International Holding?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Yihai International Holding's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew earnings per share by an impressive 23% last year. Although, its longer-term performance hasn't been as strong with three-year EPS growth being relatively non-existent overall. So it appears to us that the company has had a mixed result in terms of growing earnings over that time.
Turning to the outlook, the next three years should generate growth of 8.1% per annum as estimated by the analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 15% each year growth forecast for the broader market.
With this information, we find it interesting that Yihai International Holding is trading at a fairly similar P/E to the market. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited growth expectations and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. These shareholders may be setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/E falls to levels more in line with the growth outlook.
What We Can Learn From Yihai International Holding's P/E?
It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
Our examination of Yihai International Holding's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior earnings outlook isn't impacting its P/E as much as we would have predicted. When we see a weak earnings outlook with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. This places shareholders' investments at risk and potential investors in danger of paying an unnecessary premium.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. You can assess many of the main risks through our free balance sheet analysis for Yihai International Holding with six simple checks.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.