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Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc.'s (HKG:2696) Share Price Boosted 28% But Its Business Prospects Need A Lift Too

上海徳瑞生物、株式会社(HKG:2696)の株価は28%上昇したが、ビジネスの見通しも上向く必要がある。

Simply Wall St ·  01/25 06:04

The Shanghai Henlius Biotech, Inc. (HKG:2696) share price has done very well over the last month, posting an excellent gain of 28%. While recent buyers may be laughing, long-term holders might not be as pleased since the recent gain only brings the stock back to where it started a year ago.

Even after such a large jump in price, Shanghai Henlius Biotech's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.5x might still make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Biotechs industry in Hong Kong, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 10.5x and even P/S above 25x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for Shanghai Henlius Biotech

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SEHK:2696 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

What Does Shanghai Henlius Biotech's Recent Performance Look Like?

With revenue growth that's inferior to most other companies of late, Shanghai Henlius Biotech has been relatively sluggish. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Shanghai Henlius Biotech.

How Is Shanghai Henlius Biotech's Revenue Growth Trending?

Shanghai Henlius Biotech's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very poor growth or even falling revenue, and importantly, perform much worse than the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 88% gain to the company's top line. Spectacularly, three year revenue growth has ballooned by several orders of magnitude, thanks in part to the last 12 months of revenue growth. Accordingly, shareholders would have been over the moon with those medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 13% each year over the next three years. With the industry predicted to deliver 68% growth per year, the company is positioned for a weaker revenue result.

With this in consideration, its clear as to why Shanghai Henlius Biotech's P/S is falling short industry peers. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on while the company is potentially eyeing a less prosperous future.

What Does Shanghai Henlius Biotech's P/S Mean For Investors?

Shares in Shanghai Henlius Biotech have risen appreciably however, its P/S is still subdued. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.

As we suspected, our examination of Shanghai Henlius Biotech's analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

Plus, you should also learn about these 2 warning signs we've spotted with Shanghai Henlius Biotech (including 1 which shouldn't be ignored).

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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