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Insufficient Growth At Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Co., Ltd. (SHSE:600078) Hampers Share Price

江蘇成興磷化工股份有限公司(SHSE:600078)の成長不足が株価に影響を与えています

Simply Wall St ·  01/24 18:07

Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Co., Ltd.'s (SHSE:600078) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.4x might make it look like a buy right now compared to the Chemicals industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.1x and even P/S above 5x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.

See our latest analysis for Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SHSE:600078 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 24th 2024

How Has Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals Performed Recently?

For example, consider that Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the recent revenue performance isn't good enough to keep up the industry, causing the P/S ratio to suffer. However, if this doesn't eventuate then existing shareholders may be feeling optimistic about the future direction of the share price.

We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as low as Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 26% decrease to the company's top line. At least revenue has managed not to go completely backwards from three years ago in aggregate, thanks to the earlier period of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 27% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this information, we can see why Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. Apparently many shareholders weren't comfortable holding on to something they believe will continue to trail the wider industry.

What We Can Learn From Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals' P/S?

Using the price-to-sales ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.

Our examination of Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals confirms that the company's revenue trends over the past three-year years are a key factor in its low price-to-sales ratio, as we suspected, given they fall short of current industry expectations. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.

It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Jiangsu ChengXing Phosph-Chemicals, and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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