Shanghai Newtouch Software Co., Ltd. (SHSE:688590) shares have had a horrible month, losing 26% after a relatively good period beforehand. Looking at the bigger picture, even after this poor month the stock is up 54% in the last year.
Since its price has dipped substantially, Shanghai Newtouch Software may be sending bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x, since almost half of all companies in the IT industry in China have P/S ratios greater than 3.9x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the reduced P/S.
Check out our latest analysis for Shanghai Newtouch Software
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How Shanghai Newtouch Software Has Been Performing
Recent times have been advantageous for Shanghai Newtouch Software as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If the company manages to stay the course, then investors should be rewarded with a share price that matches its revenue figures.
Keen to find out how analysts think Shanghai Newtouch Software's future stacks up against the industry? In that case, our free report is a great place to start.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should underperform the industry for P/S ratios like Shanghai Newtouch Software's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered an exceptional 23% gain to the company's top line. The latest three year period has also seen an excellent 45% overall rise in revenue, aided by its short-term performance. Accordingly, shareholders would have definitely welcomed those medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the lone analyst covering the company suggest revenue should grow by 39% over the next year. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 46%, which is noticeably more attractive.
With this information, we can see why Shanghai Newtouch Software is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
What We Can Learn From Shanghai Newtouch Software's P/S?
The southerly movements of Shanghai Newtouch Software's shares means its P/S is now sitting at a pretty low level. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
We've established that Shanghai Newtouch Software maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider before investing and we've discovered 2 warning signs for Shanghai Newtouch Software that you should be aware of.
If companies with solid past earnings growth is up your alley, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.