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Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Company Limited (SZSE:000869) Stock's On A Decline: Are Poor Fundamentals The Cause?

雲台長崎ピオニアワインカンパニーリミテッド(SZSE:000869)の株価が下落している:財務基盤が原因か?

Simply Wall St ·  01/29 21:57

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine (SZSE:000869) has had a rough three months with its share price down 17%. To decide if this trend could continue, we decided to look at its weak fundamentals as they shape the long-term market trends. In this article, we decided to focus on Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE.

Return on equity or ROE is an important factor to be considered by a shareholder because it tells them how effectively their capital is being reinvested. In other words, it is a profitability ratio which measures the rate of return on the capital provided by the company's shareholders.

See our latest analysis for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine

How To Calculate Return On Equity?

Return on equity can be calculated by using the formula:

Return on Equity = Net Profit (from continuing operations) ÷ Shareholders' Equity

So, based on the above formula, the ROE for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine is:

3.9% = CN¥425m ÷ CN¥11b (Based on the trailing twelve months to September 2023).

The 'return' is the income the business earned over the last year. Another way to think of that is that for every CN¥1 worth of equity, the company was able to earn CN¥0.04 in profit.

What Is The Relationship Between ROE And Earnings Growth?

Thus far, we have learned that ROE measures how efficiently a company is generating its profits. We now need to evaluate how much profit the company reinvests or "retains" for future growth which then gives us an idea about the growth potential of the company. Assuming everything else remains unchanged, the higher the ROE and profit retention, the higher the growth rate of a company compared to companies that don't necessarily bear these characteristics.

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's Earnings Growth And 3.9% ROE

It is hard to argue that Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's ROE is much good in and of itself. Not just that, even compared to the industry average of 13%, the company's ROE is entirely unremarkable. For this reason, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's five year net income decline of 22% is not surprising given its lower ROE. However, there could also be other factors causing the earnings to decline. For example, the business has allocated capital poorly, or that the company has a very high payout ratio.

So, as a next step, we compared Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance against the industry and were disappointed to discover that while the company has been shrinking its earnings, the industry has been growing its earnings at a rate of 18% over the last few years.

past-earnings-growth
SZSE:000869 Past Earnings Growth January 30th 2024

Earnings growth is a huge factor in stock valuation. What investors need to determine next is if the expected earnings growth, or the lack of it, is already built into the share price. This then helps them determine if the stock is placed for a bright or bleak future. If you're wondering about Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's's valuation, check out this gauge of its price-to-earnings ratio, as compared to its industry.

Is Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine Using Its Retained Earnings Effectively?

Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's declining earnings is not surprising given how the company is spending most of its profits in paying dividends, judging by its three-year median payout ratio of 62% (or a retention ratio of 38%). The business is only left with a small pool of capital to reinvest - A vicious cycle that doesn't benefit the company in the long-run. You can see the 2 risks we have identified for Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine by visiting our risks dashboard for free on our platform here.

Additionally, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine has paid dividends over a period of at least ten years, which means that the company's management is determined to pay dividends even if it means little to no earnings growth.

Summary

On the whole, Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's performance is quite a big let-down. As a result of its low ROE and lack of much reinvestment into the business, the company has seen a disappointing earnings growth rate. So far, we've only made a quick discussion around the company's earnings growth. So it may be worth checking this free detailed graph of Yantai Changyu Pioneer Wine's past earnings, as well as revenue and cash flows to get a deeper insight into the company's performance.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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