Cubic Digital Technology Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300344) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 29% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop has obliterated the annual return, with the share price now down 9.6% over that longer period.
Even after such a large drop in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Electronic industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 3.5x, you may still consider Cubic Digital Technology as a stock probably not worth researching with its 5.1x P/S ratio. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the elevated P/S.
See our latest analysis for Cubic Digital Technology
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How Cubic Digital Technology Has Been Performing
For example, consider that Cubic Digital Technology's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Cubic Digital Technology will help you shine a light on its historical performance.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The High P/S Ratio?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Cubic Digital Technology would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 15%. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 96% overall rise in revenue, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Accordingly, while they would have preferred to keep the run going, shareholders would definitely welcome the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
This is in contrast to the rest of the industry, which is expected to grow by 60% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's alarming that Cubic Digital Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.
The Final Word
Cubic Digital Technology's P/S remain high even after its stock plunged. Generally, our preference is to limit the use of the price-to-sales ratio to establishing what the market thinks about the overall health of a company.
Our examination of Cubic Digital Technology revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't detracting from the P/S as much as we though, given they look worse than current industry expectations. When we observe slower-than-industry revenue growth alongside a high P/S ratio, we assume there to be a significant risk of the share price decreasing, which would result in a lower P/S ratio. Unless there is a significant improvement in the company's medium-term performance, it will be difficult to prevent the P/S ratio from declining to a more reasonable level.
Having said that, be aware Cubic Digital Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis, you should know about.
If you're unsure about the strength of Cubic Digital Technology's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.