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Some Confidence Is Lacking In Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300208) As Shares Slide 32%

青島中紫中成集団有限公司(SZSE:300208)は、株価が32%下落し、自信を欠くとされています。

Simply Wall St ·  01/31 18:19

The Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng Group Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:300208) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 32%. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 59% share price decline.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, you could still be forgiven for thinking Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd is a stock to steer clear of with a price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") of 4.5x, considering almost half the companies in China's Electrical industry have P/S ratios below 2.1x. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.

Check out our latest analysis for Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300208 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry January 31st 2024

What Does Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?

As an illustration, revenue has deteriorated at Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd over the last year, which is not ideal at all. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.

Want the full picture on earnings, revenue and cash flow for the company? Then our free report on Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd will help you shine a light on its historical performance.

How Is Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's Revenue Growth Trending?

There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the industry for P/S ratios like Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's to be considered reasonable.

In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 8.5%. That put a dampener on the good run it was having over the longer-term as its three-year revenue growth is still a noteworthy 21% in total. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the revenue growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.

Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 29% shows it's noticeably less attractive.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way more bullish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock at any price. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with recent growth rates.

What We Can Learn From Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's P/S?

A significant share price dive has done very little to deflate Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd's very lofty P/S. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

The fact that Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd currently trades on a higher P/S relative to the industry is an oddity, since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider industry forecast. Right now we aren't comfortable with the high P/S as this revenue performance isn't likely to support such positive sentiment for long. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve markedly, it's very challenging to accept these the share price as being reasonable.

Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Qingdao Zhongzi Zhongcheng GroupLtd (1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) that we have uncovered.

If strong companies turning a profit tickle your fancy, then you'll want to check out this free list of interesting companies that trade on a low P/E (but have proven they can grow earnings).

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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