The Chengdu Qinchuan IoT Technology Co.Ltd. (SHSE:688528) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 28% in that time.
Although its price has dipped substantially, there still wouldn't be many who think Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 3.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Electronic industry is similar at about 3.5x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/S ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
View our latest analysis for Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd
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What Does Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's Recent Performance Look Like?
For example, consider that Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's financial performance has been pretty ordinary lately as revenue growth is non-existent. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think this benign revenue growth rate might not be enough to outperform the broader industry in the near future. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.
Although there are no analyst estimates available for Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should be matching the industry for P/S ratios like Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered virtually the same number to the company's top line as the year before. Fortunately, a few good years before that means that it was still able to grow revenue by 13% in total over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say that revenue growth has been inconsistent recently for the company.
Comparing the recent medium-term revenue trends against the industry's one-year growth forecast of 60% shows it's noticeably less attractive.
In light of this, it's curious that Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent revenue trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Bottom Line On Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's P/S
Following Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.
Our examination of Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd revealed its poor three-year revenue trends aren't resulting in a lower P/S as per our expectations, given they look worse than current industry outlook. When we see weak revenue with slower than industry growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, bringing the P/S back in line with expectations. If recent medium-term revenue trends continue, the probability of a share price decline will become quite substantial, placing shareholders at risk.
You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 1 warning sign for Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd you should be aware of.
If you're unsure about the strength of Chengdu Qinchuan IoT TechnologyLtd's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.