The Dalian Zhiyun Automation Co., Ltd. (SZSE:300097) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 26%. Looking back over the past twelve months the stock has been a solid performer regardless, with a gain of 11%.
In spite of the heavy fall in price, when almost half of the companies in China's Machinery industry have price-to-sales ratios (or "P/S") below 2.5x, you may still consider Dalian Zhiyun Automation as a stock probably not worth researching with its 4x P/S ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's as high as it is.
Check out our latest analysis for Dalian Zhiyun Automation
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How Has Dalian Zhiyun Automation Performed Recently?
For example, consider that Dalian Zhiyun Automation's financial performance has been poor lately as its revenue has been in decline. Perhaps the market believes the company can do enough to outperform the rest of the industry in the near future, which is keeping the P/S ratio high. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
We don't have analyst forecasts, but you can see how recent trends are setting up the company for the future by checking out our free report on Dalian Zhiyun Automation's earnings, revenue and cash flow.How Is Dalian Zhiyun Automation's Revenue Growth Trending?
In order to justify its P/S ratio, Dalian Zhiyun Automation would need to produce impressive growth in excess of the industry.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 16% decrease to the company's top line. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 39% in aggregate. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been undesirable for the company.
Comparing that to the industry, which is predicted to deliver 28% growth in the next 12 months, the company's downward momentum based on recent medium-term revenue results is a sobering picture.
With this in mind, we find it worrying that Dalian Zhiyun Automation's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. It seems most investors are ignoring the recent poor growth rate and are hoping for a turnaround in the company's business prospects. There's a very good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.
The Key Takeaway
There's still some elevation in Dalian Zhiyun Automation's P/S, even if the same can't be said for its share price recently. We'd say the price-to-sales ratio's power isn't primarily as a valuation instrument but rather to gauge current investor sentiment and future expectations.
We've established that Dalian Zhiyun Automation currently trades on a much higher than expected P/S since its recent revenues have been in decline over the medium-term. With a revenue decline on investors' minds, the likelihood of a souring sentiment is quite high which could send the P/S back in line with what we'd expect. Should recent medium-term revenue trends persist, it would pose a significant risk to existing shareholders' investments and prospective investors will have a hard time accepting the current value of the stock.
It is also worth noting that we have found 2 warning signs for Dalian Zhiyun Automation that you need to take into consideration.
If you're unsure about the strength of Dalian Zhiyun Automation's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.