Double Medical Technology Inc. (SZSE:002901) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 30% share price drop in the last month. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 24% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, Double Medical Technology's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 8.9x might still make it look like a strong sell right now compared to other companies in the Medical Equipment industry in China, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios below 5.1x and even P/S below 2x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly elevated P/S.
View our latest analysis for Double Medical Technology
How Double Medical Technology Has Been Performing
While the industry has experienced revenue growth lately, Double Medical Technology's revenue has gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It might be that many expect the dour revenue performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/S from collapsing. However, if this isn't the case, investors might get caught out paying too much for the stock.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Double Medical Technology will help you uncover what's on the horizon.What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The High P/S?
Double Medical Technology's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's expected to deliver very strong growth, and importantly, perform much better than the industry.
In reviewing the last year of financials, we were disheartened to see the company's revenues fell to the tune of 31%. The last three years don't look nice either as the company has shrunk revenue by 12% in aggregate. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 42% as estimated by the one analyst watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially higher than the 26% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that Double Medical Technology's P/S sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What Does Double Medical Technology's P/S Mean For Investors?
Double Medical Technology's shares may have suffered, but its P/S remains high. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Double Medical Technology maintains its high P/S on the strength of its forecasted revenue growth being higher than the the rest of the Medical Equipment industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for a deterioration in revenues is quite remote, justifying the elevated P/S ratio. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
A lot of potential risks can sit within a company's balance sheet. Our free balance sheet analysis for Double Medical Technology with six simple checks will allow you to discover any risks that could be an issue.
Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.