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Henan Qingshuiyuan Technology CO.,Ltd (SZSE:300437) May Have Run Too Fast Too Soon With Recent 27% Price Plummet

河南清水源科技有限公司(SZSE:300437)は、最近27%の株価下落によってあまりにも早く走りすぎた可能性があります。

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 17:09

Henan Qingshuiyuan Technology CO.,Ltd (SZSE:300437) shareholders that were waiting for something to happen have been dealt a blow with a 27% share price drop in the last month. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 51% loss during that time.

In spite of the heavy fall in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 1.9x is worth a mention when the median P/S in China's Chemicals industry is similar at about 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

ps-multiple-vs-industry
SZSE:300437 Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry February 1st 2024

What Does Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

For instance, Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's receding revenue in recent times would have to be some food for thought. One possibility is that the P/S is moderate because investors think the company might still do enough to be in line with the broader industry in the near future. If not, then existing shareholders may be a little nervous about the viability of the share price.

Although there are no analyst estimates available for Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd, take a look at this free data-rich visualisation to see how the company stacks up on earnings, revenue and cash flow.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The P/S Ratio?

In order to justify its P/S ratio, Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd would need to produce growth that's similar to the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 39% decrease to the company's top line. This means it has also seen a slide in revenue over the longer-term as revenue is down 17% in total over the last three years. Accordingly, shareholders would have felt downbeat about the medium-term rates of revenue growth.

Weighing that medium-term revenue trajectory against the broader industry's one-year forecast for expansion of 27% shows it's an unpleasant look.

With this in mind, we find it worrying that Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S exceeds that of its industry peers. Apparently many investors in the company are way less bearish than recent times would indicate and aren't willing to let go of their stock right now. There's a good chance existing shareholders are setting themselves up for future disappointment if the P/S falls to levels more in line with the recent negative growth rates.

The Bottom Line On Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's P/S

Following Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd's share price tumble, its P/S is just clinging on to the industry median P/S. Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

We find it unexpected that Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd trades at a P/S ratio that is comparable to the rest of the industry, despite experiencing declining revenues during the medium-term, while the industry as a whole is expected to grow. Even though it matches the industry, we're uncomfortable with the current P/S ratio, as this dismal revenue performance is unlikely to support a more positive sentiment for long. Unless the the circumstances surrounding the recent medium-term improve, it wouldn't be wrong to expect a a difficult period ahead for the company's shareholders.

You need to take note of risks, for example - Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd has 3 warning signs (and 1 which is potentially serious) we think you should know about.

If these risks are making you reconsider your opinion on Henan Qingshuiyuan TechnologyLtd, explore our interactive list of high quality stocks to get an idea of what else is out there.

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.
This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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