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Further Weakness as WELLE Environmental GroupLtd (SZSE:300190) Drops 13% This Week, Taking Three-year Losses to 41%

WELLE環境集団株式会社(SZSE:300190)は今週13%下落し、3年間の損失は41%に達しました。

Simply Wall St ·  02/01 22:26

As an investor its worth striving to ensure your overall portfolio beats the market average. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. Unfortunately, that's been the case for longer term WELLE Environmental Group Co.,Ltd (SZSE:300190) shareholders, since the share price is down 44% in the last three years, falling well short of the market decline of around 28%. More recently, the share price has dropped a further 19% in a month. But this could be related to poor market conditions -- stocks are down 13% in the same time.

Since WELLE Environmental GroupLtd has shed CN¥408m from its value in the past 7 days, let's see if the longer term decline has been driven by the business' economics.

While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. By comparing earnings per share (EPS) and share price changes over time, we can get a feel for how investor attitudes to a company have morphed over time.

Over the three years that the share price declined, WELLE Environmental GroupLtd's earnings per share (EPS) dropped significantly, falling to a loss. Since the company has fallen to a loss making position, it's hard to compare the change in EPS with the share price change. But it's safe to say we'd generally expect the share price to be lower as a result!

The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-per-share-growth
SZSE:300190 Earnings Per Share Growth February 2nd 2024

Dive deeper into WELLE Environmental GroupLtd's key metrics by checking this interactive graph of WELLE Environmental GroupLtd's earnings, revenue and cash flow.

What About Dividends?

As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). The TSR is a return calculation that accounts for the value of cash dividends (assuming that any dividend received was reinvested) and the calculated value of any discounted capital raisings and spin-offs. So for companies that pay a generous dividend, the TSR is often a lot higher than the share price return. As it happens, WELLE Environmental GroupLtd's TSR for the last 3 years was -41%, which exceeds the share price return mentioned earlier. And there's no prize for guessing that the dividend payments largely explain the divergence!

A Different Perspective

Although it hurts that WELLE Environmental GroupLtd returned a loss of 19% in the last twelve months, the broader market was actually worse, returning a loss of 25%. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it's worse than the annualised loss of 4% over the last half decade. While some investors do well specializing in buying companies that are struggling (but nonetheless undervalued), don't forget that Buffett said that 'turnarounds seldom turn'. I find it very interesting to look at share price over the long term as a proxy for business performance. But to truly gain insight, we need to consider other information, too. For example, we've discovered 2 warning signs for WELLE Environmental GroupLtd that you should be aware of before investing here.

But note: WELLE Environmental GroupLtd may not be the best stock to buy. So take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with past earnings growth (and further growth forecast).

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Chinese exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

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