The Baoding Dongli Machinery Co.,Ltd. (SZSE:301298) share price has fared very poorly over the last month, falling by a substantial 28%. The drop over the last 30 days has capped off a tough year for shareholders, with the share price down 27% in that time.
Even after such a large drop in price, there still wouldn't be many who think Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd's price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 29.1x is worth a mention when the median P/E in China is similar at about 28x. While this might not raise any eyebrows, if the P/E ratio is not justified investors could be missing out on a potential opportunity or ignoring looming disappointment.
Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd has been doing a decent job lately as it's been growing earnings at a reasonable pace. It might be that many expect the respectable earnings performance to only match most other companies over the coming period, which has kept the P/E from rising. If not, then at least existing shareholders probably aren't too pessimistic about the future direction of the share price.
Does Growth Match The P/E?
The only time you'd be comfortable seeing a P/E like Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd's is when the company's growth is tracking the market closely.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.2% gain to the company's bottom line. EPS has also lifted 25% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the earnings growth recently has been respectable for the company.
This is in contrast to the rest of the market, which is expected to grow by 41% over the next year, materially higher than the company's recent medium-term annualised growth rates.
In light of this, it's curious that Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd's P/E sits in line with the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are ignoring the fairly limited recent growth rates and are willing to pay up for exposure to the stock. Maintaining these prices will be difficult to achieve as a continuation of recent earnings trends is likely to weigh down the shares eventually.
The Final Word
Following Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd's share price tumble, its P/E is now hanging on to the median market P/E. It's argued the price-to-earnings ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd currently trades on a higher than expected P/E since its recent three-year growth is lower than the wider market forecast. When we see weak earnings with slower than market growth, we suspect the share price is at risk of declining, sending the moderate P/E lower. Unless the recent medium-term conditions improve, it's challenging to accept these prices as being reasonable.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Baoding Dongli MachineryLtd (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that we have uncovered.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.